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Modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies

National stay-at-home orders, or lockdowns, were imposed in several countries to drastically reduce the social interactions mainly responsible for the transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Despite being essential to slow down the COVID-19 pandemic, these containment measures are associated with an e...

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Autores principales: Plazas, Adrià, Malvestio, Irene, Starnini, Michele, Díaz-Guilera, Albert
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8012750/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33821212
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41109-021-00366-7
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author Plazas, Adrià
Malvestio, Irene
Starnini, Michele
Díaz-Guilera, Albert
author_facet Plazas, Adrià
Malvestio, Irene
Starnini, Michele
Díaz-Guilera, Albert
author_sort Plazas, Adrià
collection PubMed
description National stay-at-home orders, or lockdowns, were imposed in several countries to drastically reduce the social interactions mainly responsible for the transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Despite being essential to slow down the COVID-19 pandemic, these containment measures are associated with an economic burden. In this work, we propose a network approach to model the implementation of a partial lockdown, breaking the society into disconnected components, or partitions. Our model is composed by two main ingredients: a multiplex network representing human contacts within different contexts, formed by a Household layer, a Work layer, and a Social layer including generic social interactions, and a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered process that mimics the epidemic spreading. We compare different partition strategies, with a twofold aim: reducing the epidemic outbreak and minimizing the economic cost associated to the partial lockdown. We also show that the inclusion of unconstrained social interactions dramatically increases the epidemic spreading, while different kinds of restrictions on social interactions help in keeping the benefices of the network partition. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s41109-021-00366-7.
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spelling pubmed-80127502021-04-01 Modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies Plazas, Adrià Malvestio, Irene Starnini, Michele Díaz-Guilera, Albert Appl Netw Sci Research National stay-at-home orders, or lockdowns, were imposed in several countries to drastically reduce the social interactions mainly responsible for the transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Despite being essential to slow down the COVID-19 pandemic, these containment measures are associated with an economic burden. In this work, we propose a network approach to model the implementation of a partial lockdown, breaking the society into disconnected components, or partitions. Our model is composed by two main ingredients: a multiplex network representing human contacts within different contexts, formed by a Household layer, a Work layer, and a Social layer including generic social interactions, and a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered process that mimics the epidemic spreading. We compare different partition strategies, with a twofold aim: reducing the epidemic outbreak and minimizing the economic cost associated to the partial lockdown. We also show that the inclusion of unconstrained social interactions dramatically increases the epidemic spreading, while different kinds of restrictions on social interactions help in keeping the benefices of the network partition. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s41109-021-00366-7. Springer International Publishing 2021-04-01 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8012750/ /pubmed/33821212 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41109-021-00366-7 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Research
Plazas, Adrià
Malvestio, Irene
Starnini, Michele
Díaz-Guilera, Albert
Modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies
title Modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies
title_full Modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies
title_fullStr Modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies
title_full_unstemmed Modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies
title_short Modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies
title_sort modeling partial lockdowns in multiplex networks using partition strategies
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8012750/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33821212
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41109-021-00366-7
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