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Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study
In this paper, we discuss three different response strategies to a disease outbreak and their economic implications in an age-structured population. We have utilized the classical age structured SIR-model, thus assuming that recovered people will not be infected again. Available resource dynamics is...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Netherlands
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8019692/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33840897 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06384-5 |
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author | Babajanyan, S. G. Cheong, Kang Hao |
author_facet | Babajanyan, S. G. Cheong, Kang Hao |
author_sort | Babajanyan, S. G. |
collection | PubMed |
description | In this paper, we discuss three different response strategies to a disease outbreak and their economic implications in an age-structured population. We have utilized the classical age structured SIR-model, thus assuming that recovered people will not be infected again. Available resource dynamics is governed by the well-known logistic growth model, in which the reproduction coefficient depends on the disease outbreak spreading dynamics. We further investigate the feedback interaction of the disease spread dynamics and resource growth dynamics with the premise that the quality of treatment depends on the current economic situation. The very inclusion of mortality rates and economic considerations in the same model may be incongruous under certain positions, but in this model, we take a “realpolitik” approach by exploring all of these factors together as it is done in reality. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8019692 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Springer Netherlands |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-80196922021-04-06 Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study Babajanyan, S. G. Cheong, Kang Hao Nonlinear Dyn Original Paper In this paper, we discuss three different response strategies to a disease outbreak and their economic implications in an age-structured population. We have utilized the classical age structured SIR-model, thus assuming that recovered people will not be infected again. Available resource dynamics is governed by the well-known logistic growth model, in which the reproduction coefficient depends on the disease outbreak spreading dynamics. We further investigate the feedback interaction of the disease spread dynamics and resource growth dynamics with the premise that the quality of treatment depends on the current economic situation. The very inclusion of mortality rates and economic considerations in the same model may be incongruous under certain positions, but in this model, we take a “realpolitik” approach by exploring all of these factors together as it is done in reality. Springer Netherlands 2021-04-05 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8019692/ /pubmed/33840897 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06384-5 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Original Paper Babajanyan, S. G. Cheong, Kang Hao Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study |
title | Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study |
title_full | Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study |
title_fullStr | Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study |
title_full_unstemmed | Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study |
title_short | Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study |
title_sort | age-structured sir model and resource growth dynamics: a covid-19 study |
topic | Original Paper |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8019692/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33840897 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06384-5 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT babajanyansg agestructuredsirmodelandresourcegrowthdynamicsacovid19study AT cheongkanghao agestructuredsirmodelandresourcegrowthdynamicsacovid19study |