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Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study

In this paper, we discuss three different response strategies to a disease outbreak and their economic implications in an age-structured population. We have utilized the classical age structured SIR-model, thus assuming that recovered people will not be infected again. Available resource dynamics is...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Babajanyan, S. G., Cheong, Kang Hao
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8019692/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33840897
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06384-5
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author Babajanyan, S. G.
Cheong, Kang Hao
author_facet Babajanyan, S. G.
Cheong, Kang Hao
author_sort Babajanyan, S. G.
collection PubMed
description In this paper, we discuss three different response strategies to a disease outbreak and their economic implications in an age-structured population. We have utilized the classical age structured SIR-model, thus assuming that recovered people will not be infected again. Available resource dynamics is governed by the well-known logistic growth model, in which the reproduction coefficient depends on the disease outbreak spreading dynamics. We further investigate the feedback interaction of the disease spread dynamics and resource growth dynamics with the premise that the quality of treatment depends on the current economic situation. The very inclusion of mortality rates and economic considerations in the same model may be incongruous under certain positions, but in this model, we take a “realpolitik” approach by exploring all of these factors together as it is done in reality.
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spelling pubmed-80196922021-04-06 Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study Babajanyan, S. G. Cheong, Kang Hao Nonlinear Dyn Original Paper In this paper, we discuss three different response strategies to a disease outbreak and their economic implications in an age-structured population. We have utilized the classical age structured SIR-model, thus assuming that recovered people will not be infected again. Available resource dynamics is governed by the well-known logistic growth model, in which the reproduction coefficient depends on the disease outbreak spreading dynamics. We further investigate the feedback interaction of the disease spread dynamics and resource growth dynamics with the premise that the quality of treatment depends on the current economic situation. The very inclusion of mortality rates and economic considerations in the same model may be incongruous under certain positions, but in this model, we take a “realpolitik” approach by exploring all of these factors together as it is done in reality. Springer Netherlands 2021-04-05 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8019692/ /pubmed/33840897 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06384-5 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Paper
Babajanyan, S. G.
Cheong, Kang Hao
Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study
title Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study
title_full Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study
title_fullStr Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study
title_full_unstemmed Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study
title_short Age-structured SIR model and resource growth dynamics: a COVID-19 study
title_sort age-structured sir model and resource growth dynamics: a covid-19 study
topic Original Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8019692/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33840897
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06384-5
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