Kinetics of plasma cfDNA predicts clinical response in non-small cell lung cancer patients

Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), VEGF/VEGF receptor inhibitors (VEGFIs) and immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized the treatment of advanced cancers including non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study aims to evaluate the utility of plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) as a prognostic biomarker and efficacy predictor of chemotherapy (CT) with or without these precision therapies in NSCLC patients. Peripheral cfDNA levels in 154 NSCLC patients were quantified before and after the first target cycle of chemotherapy. The correlations of cfDNA with tumor burden, clinical characteristics, progression-free survival (PFS)/disease-free survival (DFS), objective response ratio (ORR), and therapy regimens were analyzed respectively. Baseline cfDNA, but not post-chemotherapeutic cfDNA, positively correlates with tumor burden. Notably, cfDNA kinetics (cfDNA Ratio, the ratio of post-chemotherapeutic cfDNA to baseline cfDNA) well distinguished responsive individuals (CR/PR) from the non-responsive (PD/SD). Additionally, cfDNA Ratio was found negatively correlated with PFS in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), but not lung squamous-cell carcinoma (LUSC) which may be due to a limited number of LUSC patients in this cohort. LUAD patients with low cfDNA Ratio have prolonged PFS and improved ORR, compared to those with high cfDNA Ratio. When stratified by therapy regimen, the predictive value of cfDNA Ratio is significant in patients with chemotherapy plus VEGFIs, while more patients need be included to validate the value of cfDNA Ratio in other regimens. Thus, the kinetics of plasma cfDNA during chemotherapy may function as a prognostic biomarker and efficacy predictor for NSCLC patients.