Cargando…

COVID-19 prediction using AI analytics for South Korea

The severe spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has created a situation of public health emergency and global awareness. In our research, we analyzed the demographical factors affecting the global pandemic spread along with the features that lead to death due to the infection. Modeling results stipulate...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Sinha, Adwitiya, Rathi, Megha
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8027716/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34764592
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10489-021-02352-z
_version_ 1783675860702724096
author Sinha, Adwitiya
Rathi, Megha
author_facet Sinha, Adwitiya
Rathi, Megha
author_sort Sinha, Adwitiya
collection PubMed
description The severe spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has created a situation of public health emergency and global awareness. In our research, we analyzed the demographical factors affecting the global pandemic spread along with the features that lead to death due to the infection. Modeling results stipulate that the mortality rate increase as the age increase and it is found that most of the death cases belong to the age group 60–80. Cluster-based analysis of age groups is also conducted to analyze the maximum targeted age-groups. An association between positive COVID-19 cases and deceased cases are also presented, with the impact on male and female death cases due to corona. Additionally, we have also presented an artificial intelligence-based statistical approach to predict the survival chances of corona infected people in South Korea with the analysis of the impact on the exploratory factors, including age-groups, gender, temporal evolution, etc. To analyze the coronavirus cases, we applied machine learning with hyperparameters tuning and deep learning models with an autoencoder-based approach for estimating the influence of the disparate features on the spread of the disease and predict the survival possibilities of the quarantined patients in isolation. The model calibrated in the study is based on positive corona infection cases and presents the analysis over different aspects that proven to be impactful to analyze the temporal trends in the current situation along with the exploration of deceased cases due to coronavirus. Analysis delineates key points in the outbreak spreading, indicating that the models driven by machine intelligence and deep learning can be effective in providing a quantitative view of the epidemical outbreak.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-8027716
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2021
publisher Springer US
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-80277162021-04-08 COVID-19 prediction using AI analytics for South Korea Sinha, Adwitiya Rathi, Megha Appl Intell (Dordr) Article The severe spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has created a situation of public health emergency and global awareness. In our research, we analyzed the demographical factors affecting the global pandemic spread along with the features that lead to death due to the infection. Modeling results stipulate that the mortality rate increase as the age increase and it is found that most of the death cases belong to the age group 60–80. Cluster-based analysis of age groups is also conducted to analyze the maximum targeted age-groups. An association between positive COVID-19 cases and deceased cases are also presented, with the impact on male and female death cases due to corona. Additionally, we have also presented an artificial intelligence-based statistical approach to predict the survival chances of corona infected people in South Korea with the analysis of the impact on the exploratory factors, including age-groups, gender, temporal evolution, etc. To analyze the coronavirus cases, we applied machine learning with hyperparameters tuning and deep learning models with an autoencoder-based approach for estimating the influence of the disparate features on the spread of the disease and predict the survival possibilities of the quarantined patients in isolation. The model calibrated in the study is based on positive corona infection cases and presents the analysis over different aspects that proven to be impactful to analyze the temporal trends in the current situation along with the exploration of deceased cases due to coronavirus. Analysis delineates key points in the outbreak spreading, indicating that the models driven by machine intelligence and deep learning can be effective in providing a quantitative view of the epidemical outbreak. Springer US 2021-04-08 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8027716/ /pubmed/34764592 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10489-021-02352-z Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Sinha, Adwitiya
Rathi, Megha
COVID-19 prediction using AI analytics for South Korea
title COVID-19 prediction using AI analytics for South Korea
title_full COVID-19 prediction using AI analytics for South Korea
title_fullStr COVID-19 prediction using AI analytics for South Korea
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 prediction using AI analytics for South Korea
title_short COVID-19 prediction using AI analytics for South Korea
title_sort covid-19 prediction using ai analytics for south korea
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8027716/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34764592
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10489-021-02352-z
work_keys_str_mv AT sinhaadwitiya covid19predictionusingaianalyticsforsouthkorea
AT rathimegha covid19predictionusingaianalyticsforsouthkorea