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The mathematics of multiple lockdowns

While vaccination is the optimal response to an epidemic, recent events have obliged us to explore new strategies for containing worldwide epidemics, like lockdown strategies, where the contacts among the population are strongly reduced in order to slow down the propagation of the infection. By anal...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Scala, Antonio
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8044248/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33850217
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-87556-6
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description While vaccination is the optimal response to an epidemic, recent events have obliged us to explore new strategies for containing worldwide epidemics, like lockdown strategies, where the contacts among the population are strongly reduced in order to slow down the propagation of the infection. By analyzing a classical epidemic model, we explore the impact of lockdown strategies on the evolution of an epidemic. We show that repeated lockdowns have a beneficial effect, reducing the final size of the infection, and that they represent a possible support strategy to vaccination policies.
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spelling pubmed-80442482021-04-15 The mathematics of multiple lockdowns Scala, Antonio Sci Rep Article While vaccination is the optimal response to an epidemic, recent events have obliged us to explore new strategies for containing worldwide epidemics, like lockdown strategies, where the contacts among the population are strongly reduced in order to slow down the propagation of the infection. By analyzing a classical epidemic model, we explore the impact of lockdown strategies on the evolution of an epidemic. We show that repeated lockdowns have a beneficial effect, reducing the final size of the infection, and that they represent a possible support strategy to vaccination policies. Nature Publishing Group UK 2021-04-13 /pmc/articles/PMC8044248/ /pubmed/33850217 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-87556-6 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Scala, Antonio
The mathematics of multiple lockdowns
title The mathematics of multiple lockdowns
title_full The mathematics of multiple lockdowns
title_fullStr The mathematics of multiple lockdowns
title_full_unstemmed The mathematics of multiple lockdowns
title_short The mathematics of multiple lockdowns
title_sort mathematics of multiple lockdowns
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8044248/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33850217
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-87556-6
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