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Delayed Modeling Approach to Forecast the Periodic Behavior of SARS-2

The ongoing threat of Coronavirus is alarming. The key players of this virus are modeled mathematically during this research. The transmission rates are hypothesized, with the aid of epidemiological concepts and recent findings. The model reported is extended, by taking into account the delayed dyna...

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Autores principales: Yu, Zhenhua, Sohail, Ayesha, Nutini, Alessandro, Arif, Robia
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8047460/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33869271
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmolb.2020.585245
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author Yu, Zhenhua
Sohail, Ayesha
Nutini, Alessandro
Arif, Robia
author_facet Yu, Zhenhua
Sohail, Ayesha
Nutini, Alessandro
Arif, Robia
author_sort Yu, Zhenhua
collection PubMed
description The ongoing threat of Coronavirus is alarming. The key players of this virus are modeled mathematically during this research. The transmission rates are hypothesized, with the aid of epidemiological concepts and recent findings. The model reported is extended, by taking into account the delayed dynamics. Time delay reflects the fact that the dynamic behavior of transmission of the disease, at time t depends not only on the state at time t but also on the state in some period τ before time t. The research presented in this manuscript will not only help in understanding the current threat of pandemic (SARS-2), but will also contribute in making precautionary measures and developing control strategies.
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spelling pubmed-80474602021-04-16 Delayed Modeling Approach to Forecast the Periodic Behavior of SARS-2 Yu, Zhenhua Sohail, Ayesha Nutini, Alessandro Arif, Robia Front Mol Biosci Molecular Biosciences The ongoing threat of Coronavirus is alarming. The key players of this virus are modeled mathematically during this research. The transmission rates are hypothesized, with the aid of epidemiological concepts and recent findings. The model reported is extended, by taking into account the delayed dynamics. Time delay reflects the fact that the dynamic behavior of transmission of the disease, at time t depends not only on the state at time t but also on the state in some period τ before time t. The research presented in this manuscript will not only help in understanding the current threat of pandemic (SARS-2), but will also contribute in making precautionary measures and developing control strategies. Frontiers Media S.A. 2021-04-01 /pmc/articles/PMC8047460/ /pubmed/33869271 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmolb.2020.585245 Text en Copyright © 2021 Yu, Sohail, Nutini and Arif. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Molecular Biosciences
Yu, Zhenhua
Sohail, Ayesha
Nutini, Alessandro
Arif, Robia
Delayed Modeling Approach to Forecast the Periodic Behavior of SARS-2
title Delayed Modeling Approach to Forecast the Periodic Behavior of SARS-2
title_full Delayed Modeling Approach to Forecast the Periodic Behavior of SARS-2
title_fullStr Delayed Modeling Approach to Forecast the Periodic Behavior of SARS-2
title_full_unstemmed Delayed Modeling Approach to Forecast the Periodic Behavior of SARS-2
title_short Delayed Modeling Approach to Forecast the Periodic Behavior of SARS-2
title_sort delayed modeling approach to forecast the periodic behavior of sars-2
topic Molecular Biosciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8047460/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33869271
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmolb.2020.585245
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