A pilot study on EORTC or PERCIST for the prediction of progression-free survival with nivolumab therapy in advanced or metastatic gastric cancers: A STROBE-compliant article

Recent breakthrough results from immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have paved the way to a new era of cancer immunotherapy, and have thus led to a paradigm shift of cancer treatment. In particular, inhibition of the antiprogrammed death-1 (PD-1)/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) axis with ICI, including nivolumab and pembrolizumab, has been emerging as a novel treatment strategy for advanced gastric cancers. An accurate noninvasive assessment of the response to ICI is important for the management of patients with advanced or metastatic gastric cancer. To examine whether the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) and PET Response Criteria in Solid Tumors (PERCIST) are valuable for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with advanced or metastatic gastric cancers treated with nivolumab. Six patients with advanced or metastatic gastric cancers who underwent (18)F-FDG-PET/computed tomography (CT) scans before, and from 2 to 6 months after initiation of nivolumab therapy between September 2017 and August 2019, were evaluated retrospectively. The correlation between tumor progression and EORTC or PERCIST was assessed with the Fisher's exact test. The PFS was assessed with the Kaplan–Meier method. Two patients were alive without progression, and the remaining 4 patients exhibited tumor progression. Two patients without progression were classified as partial metabolic response (PMR) patients based on EORTC or PERCIST, while the other 4 patients with progression were classified as progressive metabolic disease (PMD) patients based on EORTC (P = .067), or stable metabolic disease (SMD) patients, or PMD patients based on PERCIST (P = .067). The mean and median PFS of all patients was 12.7 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.9–20.4 months) and 5 months (95%CI, 4.0–11.0 months). Two EORTC or PERCIST PMR patients showed significantly longer median PFS compared with 4 non-PMR patients (not reached vs 4.0 months, P = .044). Three PERCIST PMR or SMD patients also showed significantly longer median PFS compared with 3 PMD patients (not reached vs 4.0 months, P = .022). These results suggest that EORTC or PERCIST has the potential to predict PFS of patients with advanced or metastatic gastric cancers treated by nivolumab and further studies are needed to determine its value in larger study populations.