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Short-term forecasts of expected deaths
We introduce a method for making short-term mortality forecasts of a few months, illustrating it by estimating how many deaths might have happened if some major shock had not occurred. We apply the method to assess excess mortality from March to June 2020 in Denmark and Sweden as a result of the fir...
Autores principales: | Rizzi, Silvia, Vaupel, James W. |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8053952/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33771934 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2025324118 |
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