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Multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem

Developing a hedging strategy to reduce risk of losses for a given set of stocks in a portfolio is a difficult task due to cost of the hedge. In Vietnam stock market, cross-hedge is involved hedging a long position of a stock because there is no put option for the stock. In addition, only VN30 stock...

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Autores principales: Pham, Uyen, Luu, Quoc, Tran, Hien
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8054257/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33897298
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00500-021-05801-6
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author Pham, Uyen
Luu, Quoc
Tran, Hien
author_facet Pham, Uyen
Luu, Quoc
Tran, Hien
author_sort Pham, Uyen
collection PubMed
description Developing a hedging strategy to reduce risk of losses for a given set of stocks in a portfolio is a difficult task due to cost of the hedge. In Vietnam stock market, cross-hedge is involved hedging a long position of a stock because there is no put option for the stock. In addition, only VN30 stock index futures contracts are traded on Hanoi Stock Exchange. Inspired by recently achievement of deep reinforcement learning, we explore feasibility to construct a hedging strategy automatically by leveraging cooperative multi-agent in reinforcement learning techniques without advanced domain knowledge. In this work, we use 10 popular stocks on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, and VN30F1M (VN30 Index Futures contracts within one month settlement) to develop a stock market simulator (including transaction fee, tax, and settlement date of transactions) for reinforcement learning agent training. We use daily return as input data for training process. Results suggest that the agent can learn trading and hedging policy to make profit and reduce losses. Furthermore, we also find that our agent can protect portfolios and make positive profit in case market collapses systematically. In practice, this work can help Vietnam’s stock market investors to improve performance and reduce losses in trading, especially when the volatility cannot be controlled.
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spelling pubmed-80542572021-04-19 Multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem Pham, Uyen Luu, Quoc Tran, Hien Soft comput Focus Developing a hedging strategy to reduce risk of losses for a given set of stocks in a portfolio is a difficult task due to cost of the hedge. In Vietnam stock market, cross-hedge is involved hedging a long position of a stock because there is no put option for the stock. In addition, only VN30 stock index futures contracts are traded on Hanoi Stock Exchange. Inspired by recently achievement of deep reinforcement learning, we explore feasibility to construct a hedging strategy automatically by leveraging cooperative multi-agent in reinforcement learning techniques without advanced domain knowledge. In this work, we use 10 popular stocks on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, and VN30F1M (VN30 Index Futures contracts within one month settlement) to develop a stock market simulator (including transaction fee, tax, and settlement date of transactions) for reinforcement learning agent training. We use daily return as input data for training process. Results suggest that the agent can learn trading and hedging policy to make profit and reduce losses. Furthermore, we also find that our agent can protect portfolios and make positive profit in case market collapses systematically. In practice, this work can help Vietnam’s stock market investors to improve performance and reduce losses in trading, especially when the volatility cannot be controlled. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021-04-19 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8054257/ /pubmed/33897298 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00500-021-05801-6 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Focus
Pham, Uyen
Luu, Quoc
Tran, Hien
Multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem
title Multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem
title_full Multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem
title_fullStr Multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem
title_full_unstemmed Multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem
title_short Multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem
title_sort multi-agent reinforcement learning approach for hedging portfolio problem
topic Focus
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8054257/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33897298
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00500-021-05801-6
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