Cargando…

Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Total Mortality in Poland

Background: According to published data the number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 is underestimated between 30 and 80%. Aim: The aim of this study is to assess the impact of COVID-19 on total mortality of Poland and the Silesian voivodship. Methods: Secondary epidemiological data on COVID-19 death...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Barański, Kamil, Brożek, Grzegorz, Kowalska, Małgorzata, Kaleta-Pilarska, Angelina, Zejda, Jan Eugeniusz
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8074753/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33924261
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18084388
_version_ 1783684412611756032
author Barański, Kamil
Brożek, Grzegorz
Kowalska, Małgorzata
Kaleta-Pilarska, Angelina
Zejda, Jan Eugeniusz
author_facet Barański, Kamil
Brożek, Grzegorz
Kowalska, Małgorzata
Kaleta-Pilarska, Angelina
Zejda, Jan Eugeniusz
author_sort Barański, Kamil
collection PubMed
description Background: According to published data the number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 is underestimated between 30 and 80%. Aim: The aim of this study is to assess the impact of COVID-19 on total mortality of Poland and the Silesian voivodship. Methods: Secondary epidemiological data on COVID-19 deaths were obtained from the Ministry of Health registry and data on total mortality were gathered from the National Statistical Office and Registry Office in Poland. Three scenarios were used to estimated COVID-19 deaths: real number + an extra 30%, 60%, and 70% excess total deaths. Results: In 2020, there were 73,254, 64,584, and 67,677 excess deaths in comparison to 2017–2019, respectively. For the Silesian voivodship, it was 8339, 7946, and 8701, respectively. The total mean increase in deaths was 16% for the whole country and the Silesian voivodship. The simulation for 30% extra COVID-19 deaths gave COVID-19 mortality equal to 12.5%; n = 50,708 deaths, for extra 60%; 17.9% n = 72,866 and for extra 70%; 19.7% n = 80,251 for Poland; and 11.9% (n = 6072), 17.2% (n = 8740), 24.2% (n = 12,297), respectively, for the Silesian voivodship. Conclusions: The participation of COVID-19 in total deaths should not exceed 20% for Poland and 24% for the Silesian voivodship in 2020.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-8074753
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2021
publisher MDPI
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-80747532021-04-27 Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Total Mortality in Poland Barański, Kamil Brożek, Grzegorz Kowalska, Małgorzata Kaleta-Pilarska, Angelina Zejda, Jan Eugeniusz Int J Environ Res Public Health Communication Background: According to published data the number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 is underestimated between 30 and 80%. Aim: The aim of this study is to assess the impact of COVID-19 on total mortality of Poland and the Silesian voivodship. Methods: Secondary epidemiological data on COVID-19 deaths were obtained from the Ministry of Health registry and data on total mortality were gathered from the National Statistical Office and Registry Office in Poland. Three scenarios were used to estimated COVID-19 deaths: real number + an extra 30%, 60%, and 70% excess total deaths. Results: In 2020, there were 73,254, 64,584, and 67,677 excess deaths in comparison to 2017–2019, respectively. For the Silesian voivodship, it was 8339, 7946, and 8701, respectively. The total mean increase in deaths was 16% for the whole country and the Silesian voivodship. The simulation for 30% extra COVID-19 deaths gave COVID-19 mortality equal to 12.5%; n = 50,708 deaths, for extra 60%; 17.9% n = 72,866 and for extra 70%; 19.7% n = 80,251 for Poland; and 11.9% (n = 6072), 17.2% (n = 8740), 24.2% (n = 12,297), respectively, for the Silesian voivodship. Conclusions: The participation of COVID-19 in total deaths should not exceed 20% for Poland and 24% for the Silesian voivodship in 2020. MDPI 2021-04-20 /pmc/articles/PMC8074753/ /pubmed/33924261 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18084388 Text en © 2021 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Communication
Barański, Kamil
Brożek, Grzegorz
Kowalska, Małgorzata
Kaleta-Pilarska, Angelina
Zejda, Jan Eugeniusz
Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Total Mortality in Poland
title Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Total Mortality in Poland
title_full Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Total Mortality in Poland
title_fullStr Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Total Mortality in Poland
title_full_unstemmed Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Total Mortality in Poland
title_short Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Total Mortality in Poland
title_sort impact of covid-19 pandemic on total mortality in poland
topic Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8074753/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33924261
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18084388
work_keys_str_mv AT baranskikamil impactofcovid19pandemicontotalmortalityinpoland
AT brozekgrzegorz impactofcovid19pandemicontotalmortalityinpoland
AT kowalskamałgorzata impactofcovid19pandemicontotalmortalityinpoland
AT kaletapilarskaangelina impactofcovid19pandemicontotalmortalityinpoland
AT zejdajaneugeniusz impactofcovid19pandemicontotalmortalityinpoland