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Anticipating trajectories of exponential growth
Humans grossly underestimate exponential growth, but are at the same time overconfident in their (poor) judgement. The so-called ‘exponential growth bias' is of new relevance in the context of COVID-19, because it explains why humans have fundamental difficulties to grasp the magnitude of a spr...
Autores principales: | Hutzler, Florian, Richlan, Fabio, Leitner, Michael Christian, Schuster, Sarah, Braun, Mario, Hawelka, Stefan |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8080009/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34007459 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.201574 |
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