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Risk Taking with Left- and Right-Skewed Lotteries(*)

While much literature has focused on preferences regarding risk, preferences over skewness also have significant economic implications. An important and understudied aspect of skewness preferences is how they affect risk taking. In this paper, we design a novel laboratory experiment that elicits cer...

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Autores principales: Bougherara, Douadia, Friesen, Lana, Nauges, Céline
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8087892/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33967390
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-021-09345-w
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author Bougherara, Douadia
Friesen, Lana
Nauges, Céline
author_facet Bougherara, Douadia
Friesen, Lana
Nauges, Céline
author_sort Bougherara, Douadia
collection PubMed
description While much literature has focused on preferences regarding risk, preferences over skewness also have significant economic implications. An important and understudied aspect of skewness preferences is how they affect risk taking. In this paper, we design a novel laboratory experiment that elicits certainty equivalents over lotteries where the variance and skewness of the outcomes are orthogonal to each other. This design enables us to cleanly measure both skewness seeking/avoiding and risk taking behavior, and their interaction, without needing to make parametric assumptions. Our experiment includes both left- and right-skewed lotteries. The results reveal that the majority of subjects are skewness avoiding risk takers who correspondingly also take more risk when facing less skewed lotteries. Our second contribution is to link these choices to individual rank-dependent utility preference parameters estimated using a separate lottery choice protocol. Using a latent-class model, we are able to identify two classes of subjects: skewness avoiders with the classic inverse s-shaped probability weighting function and skewness neutral subjects that do not have an inverse s-shaped probability weighting function. Our results thus demonstrate the link between probability distortion and skewness seeking/avoidance choices. They also highlight the importance of accounting for individual heterogeneity. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11166-021-09345-w.
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spelling pubmed-80878922021-05-03 Risk Taking with Left- and Right-Skewed Lotteries(*) Bougherara, Douadia Friesen, Lana Nauges, Céline J Risk Uncertain Article While much literature has focused on preferences regarding risk, preferences over skewness also have significant economic implications. An important and understudied aspect of skewness preferences is how they affect risk taking. In this paper, we design a novel laboratory experiment that elicits certainty equivalents over lotteries where the variance and skewness of the outcomes are orthogonal to each other. This design enables us to cleanly measure both skewness seeking/avoiding and risk taking behavior, and their interaction, without needing to make parametric assumptions. Our experiment includes both left- and right-skewed lotteries. The results reveal that the majority of subjects are skewness avoiding risk takers who correspondingly also take more risk when facing less skewed lotteries. Our second contribution is to link these choices to individual rank-dependent utility preference parameters estimated using a separate lottery choice protocol. Using a latent-class model, we are able to identify two classes of subjects: skewness avoiders with the classic inverse s-shaped probability weighting function and skewness neutral subjects that do not have an inverse s-shaped probability weighting function. Our results thus demonstrate the link between probability distortion and skewness seeking/avoidance choices. They also highlight the importance of accounting for individual heterogeneity. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11166-021-09345-w. Springer US 2021-05-01 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8087892/ /pubmed/33967390 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-021-09345-w Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC part of Springer Nature 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Bougherara, Douadia
Friesen, Lana
Nauges, Céline
Risk Taking with Left- and Right-Skewed Lotteries(*)
title Risk Taking with Left- and Right-Skewed Lotteries(*)
title_full Risk Taking with Left- and Right-Skewed Lotteries(*)
title_fullStr Risk Taking with Left- and Right-Skewed Lotteries(*)
title_full_unstemmed Risk Taking with Left- and Right-Skewed Lotteries(*)
title_short Risk Taking with Left- and Right-Skewed Lotteries(*)
title_sort risk taking with left- and right-skewed lotteries(*)
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8087892/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33967390
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-021-09345-w
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