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Time-dependent heterogeneity leads to transient suppression of the COVID-19 epidemic, not herd immunity
Epidemics generally spread through a succession of waves that reflect factors on multiple timescales. On short timescales, superspreading events lead to burstiness and overdispersion, whereas long-term persistent heterogeneity in susceptibility is expected to lead to a reduction in both the infectio...
Autores principales: | Tkachenko, Alexei V., Maslov, Sergei, Elbanna, Ahmed, Wong, George N., Weiner, Zachary J., Goldenfeld, Nigel |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8092384/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33833080 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2015972118 |
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