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Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Since the apparition of the SRAS-Cov-2 in Wuhan in China, several countries have set diverse measures to stop its spread. Measures envisaged include national or local lockdown and travels ban. In the DRC, these measures have seriously prejudiced the economy of the country which is mainly informal. I...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Public Library of Science
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8092783/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33939724 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250775 |
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author | Balike Dieudonné, Zirhumanana |
author_facet | Balike Dieudonné, Zirhumanana |
author_sort | Balike Dieudonné, Zirhumanana |
collection | PubMed |
description | Since the apparition of the SRAS-Cov-2 in Wuhan in China, several countries have set diverse measures to stop its spread. Measures envisaged include national or local lockdown and travels ban. In the DRC, these measures have seriously prejudiced the economy of the country which is mainly informal. In this paper, a mathematical model for the spread of Covid-19 in Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) taking into account the vulnerability of congolese economy is proposed. To mitigate the spreading of the virus no national lockdown is proposed, only individuals affected by the virus or suspicious are quarantined. The reproduction number for the Covid-19 is calculated and numerical simulations are performed using Python software. A clear advice for policymakers is deduced from the forecasting of the model. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8092783 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-80927832021-05-07 Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Balike Dieudonné, Zirhumanana PLoS One Research Article Since the apparition of the SRAS-Cov-2 in Wuhan in China, several countries have set diverse measures to stop its spread. Measures envisaged include national or local lockdown and travels ban. In the DRC, these measures have seriously prejudiced the economy of the country which is mainly informal. In this paper, a mathematical model for the spread of Covid-19 in Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) taking into account the vulnerability of congolese economy is proposed. To mitigate the spreading of the virus no national lockdown is proposed, only individuals affected by the virus or suspicious are quarantined. The reproduction number for the Covid-19 is calculated and numerical simulations are performed using Python software. A clear advice for policymakers is deduced from the forecasting of the model. Public Library of Science 2021-05-03 /pmc/articles/PMC8092783/ /pubmed/33939724 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250775 Text en © 2021 Zirhumanana Balike Dieudonné https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Balike Dieudonné, Zirhumanana Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo |
title | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo |
title_full | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo |
title_fullStr | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo |
title_full_unstemmed | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo |
title_short | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo |
title_sort | mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the covid-19 in the democratic republic of the congo |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8092783/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33939724 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250775 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT balikedieudonnezirhumanana mathematicalmodelforthemitigationoftheeconomiceffectsofthecovid19inthedemocraticrepublicofthecongo |