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COVID-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour

Countries and cities around the world have resorted to unprecedented mobility restrictions to combat COVID-19 transmission. Here we exploit a natural experiment whereby Colombian cities implemented varied lockdown policies based on ID number and gender to analyse the impact of these policies on urba...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Heroy, Samuel, Loaiza, Isabella, Pentland, Alex, O’Clery, Neave
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8098708/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33784887
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.1035
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author Heroy, Samuel
Loaiza, Isabella
Pentland, Alex
O’Clery, Neave
author_facet Heroy, Samuel
Loaiza, Isabella
Pentland, Alex
O’Clery, Neave
author_sort Heroy, Samuel
collection PubMed
description Countries and cities around the world have resorted to unprecedented mobility restrictions to combat COVID-19 transmission. Here we exploit a natural experiment whereby Colombian cities implemented varied lockdown policies based on ID number and gender to analyse the impact of these policies on urban mobility. Using mobile phone data, we find that the restrictiveness of cities’ mobility quotas (the share of residents allowed out daily according to policy advice) does not correlate with mobility reduction. Instead, we find that larger, wealthier cities with more formalized and complex industrial structure experienced greater reductions in mobility. Within cities, wealthier residents are more likely to reduce mobility, and commuters are especially more likely to stay at home when their work is located in wealthy or commercially/industrially formalized neighbourhoods. Hence, our results indicate that cities’ employment characteristics and work-from-home capabilities are the primary determinants of mobility reduction. This finding underscores the need for mitigations aimed at lower income/informal workers, and sheds light on critical dependencies between socio-economic classes in Latin American cities.
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spelling pubmed-80987082021-05-21 COVID-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour Heroy, Samuel Loaiza, Isabella Pentland, Alex O’Clery, Neave J R Soc Interface Life Sciences–Mathematics interface Countries and cities around the world have resorted to unprecedented mobility restrictions to combat COVID-19 transmission. Here we exploit a natural experiment whereby Colombian cities implemented varied lockdown policies based on ID number and gender to analyse the impact of these policies on urban mobility. Using mobile phone data, we find that the restrictiveness of cities’ mobility quotas (the share of residents allowed out daily according to policy advice) does not correlate with mobility reduction. Instead, we find that larger, wealthier cities with more formalized and complex industrial structure experienced greater reductions in mobility. Within cities, wealthier residents are more likely to reduce mobility, and commuters are especially more likely to stay at home when their work is located in wealthy or commercially/industrially formalized neighbourhoods. Hence, our results indicate that cities’ employment characteristics and work-from-home capabilities are the primary determinants of mobility reduction. This finding underscores the need for mitigations aimed at lower income/informal workers, and sheds light on critical dependencies between socio-economic classes in Latin American cities. The Royal Society 2021-03-31 /pmc/articles/PMC8098708/ /pubmed/33784887 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.1035 Text en © 2021 The Authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
Heroy, Samuel
Loaiza, Isabella
Pentland, Alex
O’Clery, Neave
COVID-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour
title COVID-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour
title_full COVID-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour
title_fullStr COVID-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour
title_short COVID-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour
title_sort covid-19 policy analysis: labour structure dictates lockdown mobility behaviour
topic Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8098708/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33784887
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.1035
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