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A new SEIAR model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the COVID-19 pandemics

A new susceptible-exposed-infected-asymptomatically infected-removed (SEIAR) model is developed to depict the COVID-19 transmission process, considering the latent period and asymptomatically infected. We verify the suppression effect of typical measures, cultivating human awareness, and reducing so...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Li, Jie, Zhong, Jiu, Ji, Yong-Mao, Yang, Fang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8105129/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33996400
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104283
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author Li, Jie
Zhong, Jiu
Ji, Yong-Mao
Yang, Fang
author_facet Li, Jie
Zhong, Jiu
Ji, Yong-Mao
Yang, Fang
author_sort Li, Jie
collection PubMed
description A new susceptible-exposed-infected-asymptomatically infected-removed (SEIAR) model is developed to depict the COVID-19 transmission process, considering the latent period and asymptomatically infected. We verify the suppression effect of typical measures, cultivating human awareness, and reducing social contacts. As for cutting off social connections, the feasible measures encompass social distancing policy, isolating infected communities, and isolating hub nodes. Furthermore, it is found that implementing corresponding anti-epidemic measures at different pandemic stages can achieve significant results at a low cost. In the beginning, global lockdown policy is necessary, but isolating infected wards and hub nodes could be more beneficial as the situation eases. The proposed SEIAR model emphasizes the latent period and asymptomatically infected, thus providing theoretical support for subsequent research.
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spelling pubmed-81051292021-05-10 A new SEIAR model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the COVID-19 pandemics Li, Jie Zhong, Jiu Ji, Yong-Mao Yang, Fang Results Phys Article A new susceptible-exposed-infected-asymptomatically infected-removed (SEIAR) model is developed to depict the COVID-19 transmission process, considering the latent period and asymptomatically infected. We verify the suppression effect of typical measures, cultivating human awareness, and reducing social contacts. As for cutting off social connections, the feasible measures encompass social distancing policy, isolating infected communities, and isolating hub nodes. Furthermore, it is found that implementing corresponding anti-epidemic measures at different pandemic stages can achieve significant results at a low cost. In the beginning, global lockdown policy is necessary, but isolating infected wards and hub nodes could be more beneficial as the situation eases. The proposed SEIAR model emphasizes the latent period and asymptomatically infected, thus providing theoretical support for subsequent research. The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-06 2021-05-08 /pmc/articles/PMC8105129/ /pubmed/33996400 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104283 Text en © 2021 The Authors Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Li, Jie
Zhong, Jiu
Ji, Yong-Mao
Yang, Fang
A new SEIAR model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the COVID-19 pandemics
title A new SEIAR model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the COVID-19 pandemics
title_full A new SEIAR model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the COVID-19 pandemics
title_fullStr A new SEIAR model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the COVID-19 pandemics
title_full_unstemmed A new SEIAR model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the COVID-19 pandemics
title_short A new SEIAR model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the COVID-19 pandemics
title_sort new seiar model on small-world networks to assess the intervention measures in the covid-19 pandemics
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8105129/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33996400
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104283
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