Combined grip strength and calf circumference as a useful prognostic system in patients with liver diseases: a large cohort study

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia and body composition can be associated with mortality in chronic liver diseases (CLDs). We sought to identify predictors in CLD patients (n=631, 309 males) and create a prognostic model using easily available indexes. METHODS: Reference values for low-grip strength (GS) were 26 kg in men and 18 kg in women. Reference values for low-skeletal muscle index (SMI) were 7.0 kg/m(2) in men and 5.7 kg/m(2) in women using bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA). Reference values for low-calf circumference (CC) were 34 cm in men and 33 cm in women. Reference values for high-waist circumference were 85 cm in men and 90 cm in women. Using significant factors in the multivariate analysis contributing to the overall survival (OS), we created a simple predictive model. Akaike information criterion (AIC) was compared. RESULTS: Men (P<0.0001), presence of liver cirrhosis (LC) (P<0.0001), presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (P<0.0001), low-GS (P<0.0001), low-CC (P<0.0001), serum albumin (P=0.0355), estimated glomerular filtration rate (P=0.0461), hepatitis B virus (P=0.0044) and hepatitis C virus (P<0.0001) were significant factors contributing to the OS by the multivariate analysis. The study subjects were classified into the 4 groups (combined GS-SMI system): (I) low-GS and low-SMI (sarcopenia, n=73); (II) low-GS and high-SMI (n=65); (III) high-GS and low-SMI (n=110); and (IV) high-GS and high-SMI (n=383). The cumulative OS rates were well stratified among 4 groups (overall P<0.0001, AIC =360.895). The study subjects were also classified into the 4 groups (combined GS-CC system): (I) low-GS and low-CC (n=60); (II) low-GS and high-CC (n=78); (III) high-GS and low-CC (n=70); and (IV) high-GS and high-CC (n=423). The cumulative OS rates were also well stratified among 4 groups (overall P<0.0001, AIC =349.521). In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for CC based on the OS, the optimal cutoff point in men was 34.6 cm [area under the ROC (AUC) =0.70, sensitivity =0.558, specificity =0.842], and that in women was 32.8 cm (AUC =0.72, sensitivity =0.619, specificity =0.787). CONCLUSIONS: CC can be an alternative marker for muscle mass in CLD patients. Our proposed combined GS-CC system can be helpful in the community settings without special equipment for muscle mass measurement.