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A novel mathematical model for COVID-19 with remedial strategies

Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak from Wuhan, Hubei province in China and spread out all over the World. In this work, a new mathematical model is proposed. The model consists the system of ODEs. The developed model describes the transmission pathways by employing non constant transmission rates with...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Javeed, Shumaila, Anjum, Subtain, Alimgeer, Khurram Saleem, Atif, M., Khan, Mansoor Shaukat, Farooq, W. Aslam, Hanif, Atif, Ahmad, Hijaz, Yao, Shao-Wen
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8106240/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33996398
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104248
Descripción
Sumario:Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak from Wuhan, Hubei province in China and spread out all over the World. In this work, a new mathematical model is proposed. The model consists the system of ODEs. The developed model describes the transmission pathways by employing non constant transmission rates with respect to the conditions of environment and epidemiology. There are many mathematical models purposed by many scientists. In this model, “ [Formula: see text] ” and “ [Formula: see text] ”, transmission coefficients of the exposed cases to susceptible and infectious cases to susceptible respectively, are included. “ [Formula: see text] ” as a governmental action and restriction against the spread of coronavirus is also introduced. The RK method of order four (RK4) is employed to solve the model equations. The results are presented for four countries i.e., Pakistan, Italy, Japan, and Spain etc. The parametric study is also performed to validate the proposed model.