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Coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: An international analysis
This paper analyses the effect of lockdown against the coronavirus which is one of the fastest growing threats in the world. We focus on three categories of lockdown and group four continents, Asia, America, Europe, and Africa together to assess the effectiveness of such a measure to contain the vir...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Published by Elsevier Inc.
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8125916/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34024946 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120861 |
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author | Hwang, Tienyu |
author_facet | Hwang, Tienyu |
author_sort | Hwang, Tienyu |
collection | PubMed |
description | This paper analyses the effect of lockdown against the coronavirus which is one of the fastest growing threats in the world. We focus on three categories of lockdown and group four continents, Asia, America, Europe, and Africa together to assess the effectiveness of such a measure to contain the virus. We also look at a number of variables linked to the spread of the virus to determine the factors affecting the growth of new confirmed cases. We show evidence that countries in Europe are more likely to impose a national lockdown than any other continent. For the empirical analysis, we undertake the cross-sectional regression model, logistic regression model and logistic growth curve as a method to apply the data collected over the period March to June 2020 as this is the data available at the time this paper is composed. The empirical results of this paper indicate that countries which impose the strictest form of lockdown will result in a reduction in growth of new confirmed cases. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8125916 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Published by Elsevier Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-81259162021-05-17 Coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: An international analysis Hwang, Tienyu Technol Forecast Soc Change Article This paper analyses the effect of lockdown against the coronavirus which is one of the fastest growing threats in the world. We focus on three categories of lockdown and group four continents, Asia, America, Europe, and Africa together to assess the effectiveness of such a measure to contain the virus. We also look at a number of variables linked to the spread of the virus to determine the factors affecting the growth of new confirmed cases. We show evidence that countries in Europe are more likely to impose a national lockdown than any other continent. For the empirical analysis, we undertake the cross-sectional regression model, logistic regression model and logistic growth curve as a method to apply the data collected over the period March to June 2020 as this is the data available at the time this paper is composed. The empirical results of this paper indicate that countries which impose the strictest form of lockdown will result in a reduction in growth of new confirmed cases. Published by Elsevier Inc. 2021-09 2021-05-16 /pmc/articles/PMC8125916/ /pubmed/34024946 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120861 Text en Crown Copyright © 2021 Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Hwang, Tienyu Coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: An international analysis |
title | Coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: An international analysis |
title_full | Coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: An international analysis |
title_fullStr | Coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: An international analysis |
title_full_unstemmed | Coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: An international analysis |
title_short | Coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: An international analysis |
title_sort | coronavirus lockdown and virus suppression: an international analysis |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8125916/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34024946 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120861 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT hwangtienyu coronaviruslockdownandvirussuppressionaninternationalanalysis |