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A novel fractional mathematical model of COVID-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time

In this paper, we investigate the fractional epidemic mathematical model and dynamics of COVID-19. The Wuhan city of China is considered as the origin of the corona virus. The novel corona virus is continuously spread its range of effectiveness in nearly all corners of the world. Here we analyze tha...

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Autores principales: Pandey, Prashant, Chu, Yu-Ming, Gómez-Aguilar, J.F., Jahanshahi, Hadi, Aly, Ayman A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8131186/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34028467
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104286
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author Pandey, Prashant
Chu, Yu-Ming
Gómez-Aguilar, J.F.
Jahanshahi, Hadi
Aly, Ayman A.
author_facet Pandey, Prashant
Chu, Yu-Ming
Gómez-Aguilar, J.F.
Jahanshahi, Hadi
Aly, Ayman A.
author_sort Pandey, Prashant
collection PubMed
description In this paper, we investigate the fractional epidemic mathematical model and dynamics of COVID-19. The Wuhan city of China is considered as the origin of the corona virus. The novel corona virus is continuously spread its range of effectiveness in nearly all corners of the world. Here we analyze that under what parameters and conditions it is possible to slow the speed of spreading of corona virus. We formulate a transmission dynamical model where it is assumed that some portion of the people generates the infections, which is affected by the quarantine and latent time. We study the effect of various parameters of corona virus through the fractional mathematical model. The Laguerre collocation technique is used to deal with the concerned mathematical model numerically. In order to deal with the dynamics of the novel corona virus we collect the experimental data from 15th–21st April, 2020 of Maharashtra state, India. We analyze the effect of various parameters on the numerical solutions by graphical comparison for fractional order as well as integer order. The pictorial presentation of the variation of different parameters used in model are depicted for upper and lower solution both.
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spelling pubmed-81311862021-05-19 A novel fractional mathematical model of COVID-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time Pandey, Prashant Chu, Yu-Ming Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. Jahanshahi, Hadi Aly, Ayman A. Results Phys Article In this paper, we investigate the fractional epidemic mathematical model and dynamics of COVID-19. The Wuhan city of China is considered as the origin of the corona virus. The novel corona virus is continuously spread its range of effectiveness in nearly all corners of the world. Here we analyze that under what parameters and conditions it is possible to slow the speed of spreading of corona virus. We formulate a transmission dynamical model where it is assumed that some portion of the people generates the infections, which is affected by the quarantine and latent time. We study the effect of various parameters of corona virus through the fractional mathematical model. The Laguerre collocation technique is used to deal with the concerned mathematical model numerically. In order to deal with the dynamics of the novel corona virus we collect the experimental data from 15th–21st April, 2020 of Maharashtra state, India. We analyze the effect of various parameters on the numerical solutions by graphical comparison for fractional order as well as integer order. The pictorial presentation of the variation of different parameters used in model are depicted for upper and lower solution both. The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-07 2021-05-19 /pmc/articles/PMC8131186/ /pubmed/34028467 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104286 Text en © 2021 The Author(s) Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Pandey, Prashant
Chu, Yu-Ming
Gómez-Aguilar, J.F.
Jahanshahi, Hadi
Aly, Ayman A.
A novel fractional mathematical model of COVID-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time
title A novel fractional mathematical model of COVID-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time
title_full A novel fractional mathematical model of COVID-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time
title_fullStr A novel fractional mathematical model of COVID-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time
title_full_unstemmed A novel fractional mathematical model of COVID-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time
title_short A novel fractional mathematical model of COVID-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time
title_sort novel fractional mathematical model of covid-19 epidemic considering quarantine and latent time
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8131186/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34028467
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104286
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