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Modifications of Long Economic Cycles and Prospects for Global Economic Dynamics in 2021–2050
The article presents an analysis of the nature and causes of changes observed in the long economic cycles (Kondratieff waves) of global economic development of the first half of the 21st century. The forms of these modifications and the time boundaries of the current long economic cycle are defined....
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Pleiades Publishing
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8142871/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34054284 http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1075700721030060 |
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author | Klinov, V. G. Sidorov, A. A. |
author_facet | Klinov, V. G. Sidorov, A. A. |
author_sort | Klinov, V. G. |
collection | PubMed |
description | The article presents an analysis of the nature and causes of changes observed in the long economic cycles (Kondratieff waves) of global economic development of the first half of the 21st century. The forms of these modifications and the time boundaries of the current long economic cycle are defined. A reduction of the ascending wave of the long economic cycle to 15 years and an expected reduction of the descending wave to 15 years are noted. The reasons for the reduced durations of long economic cycle phases are associated with the proliferation of microelectronic information and communication technology and with the aggravation of global competition by major developing economies. Prospects for global economic dynamics in the next 30 years and possible time boundaries of the next long economic cycle are delineated. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8142871 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Pleiades Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-81428712021-05-25 Modifications of Long Economic Cycles and Prospects for Global Economic Dynamics in 2021–2050 Klinov, V. G. Sidorov, A. A. Stud Russ Econ Dev Foreign Economic Relations The article presents an analysis of the nature and causes of changes observed in the long economic cycles (Kondratieff waves) of global economic development of the first half of the 21st century. The forms of these modifications and the time boundaries of the current long economic cycle are defined. A reduction of the ascending wave of the long economic cycle to 15 years and an expected reduction of the descending wave to 15 years are noted. The reasons for the reduced durations of long economic cycle phases are associated with the proliferation of microelectronic information and communication technology and with the aggravation of global competition by major developing economies. Prospects for global economic dynamics in the next 30 years and possible time boundaries of the next long economic cycle are delineated. Pleiades Publishing 2021-05-24 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8142871/ /pubmed/34054284 http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1075700721030060 Text en © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2021, ISSN 1075-7007, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2021, Vol. 32, No. 3, pp. 336–341. © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd., 2021.Russian Text © The Author(s), 2021. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Foreign Economic Relations Klinov, V. G. Sidorov, A. A. Modifications of Long Economic Cycles and Prospects for Global Economic Dynamics in 2021–2050 |
title | Modifications of Long Economic Cycles and Prospects for Global Economic Dynamics in 2021–2050 |
title_full | Modifications of Long Economic Cycles and Prospects for Global Economic Dynamics in 2021–2050 |
title_fullStr | Modifications of Long Economic Cycles and Prospects for Global Economic Dynamics in 2021–2050 |
title_full_unstemmed | Modifications of Long Economic Cycles and Prospects for Global Economic Dynamics in 2021–2050 |
title_short | Modifications of Long Economic Cycles and Prospects for Global Economic Dynamics in 2021–2050 |
title_sort | modifications of long economic cycles and prospects for global economic dynamics in 2021–2050 |
topic | Foreign Economic Relations |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8142871/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34054284 http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1075700721030060 |
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