Does the African Citrus psyllid, Trioza erytreae (Del Guercio) (Hemiptera: Triozidae), Represent a Phytosanitary Threat to the Citrus Industry in Mexico?

SIMPLE SUMMARY: The African citrus psyllid, Trioza erytreae (Del Guercio) (Hemiptera: Triozidae) is an invasive species for citrus crops. In its native range is the main vector of Candidatus Liberibacter africanus (CLaf), a pathogen that causes huanglongbing (HLB). For Mexico, T. erytreae could threat the citrus industry in a potential invasion but until now, the best chances to prevent its damage is analyzing if the country has the ecological conditions suitable for this psyllid. In this study we used the ecological niche modeling approach to explore which areas in Mexico has the environmental suitability for the T. erytreae establishment. Additionally, the potential role of an alternate host, Casimiroa edulis La Llave (Rutaceae), and five points of entry into the country, in the potential T. erytreae dispersion were analyzed. Mexico citrus areas has a wide environmental suitability for T. erytreae, including the main federal entity (Veracruz). The natural distribution of C. edulis matches with the T. erytreae environmental suitability and citrus areas, and could expand its distribution across the country. For preventive monitoring strategies, the port of Veracruz is a vital point for phytosanitary agencies, because of its proximity to citrus areas. ABSTRACT: The African citrus psyllid, Trioza erytreae (Del Guercio) (Hemiptera: Triozidae), is a vector of Candidatus Liberibacter africanus (CLaf), a pathogen that causes huanglongbing (HLB) in Africa. Trioza erytreae has invaded areas of Asia and Europe and has threatened citrus production due to its biological habits and the transmission of CLaf. Mexico is a country where citrus production has a vital role from the economic and social point of view. Therefore, ecological niche modeling (ENM) was used to determine if Mexico has the environmental availability that will allow T. erytreae invasion. We analyzed whether or not the distribution of Casimiroa edulis La Llave (Rutaceae) in the country could be a factor that enables the dispersal of T. eytreae. The environmental connectivity between five points of entry into the country (two ports and three airports) was explored to determine possible routes of dispersal of T. erytrae. The results showed that Mexico has wide availability for the invasion of the African citrus psyllid, which coincides with essential citrus areas of the country and with the distribution of C. edulis. Of the entry points studied, the Port of Veracruz showed nearby areas with environmental connectivity. Preventive monitoring measures for T. erytreae in Mexico should focus on Veracruz state because it has an entry point, ideal environmental availability, citrus areas, and specimens of C. edulis.