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Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia
SARS-CoV-2 infections are now spreading across the world. Different measures were used by governments around the world to combat the spread of COVID-19. The efficacy of social distancing approaches in reducing the spread of COVID-19 in Ethiopia was investigated using geospatial technologies and the...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Springer International Publishing
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8160555/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34075343 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40808-021-01190-9 |
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author | Bushira, Kedir Mohammed |
author_facet | Bushira, Kedir Mohammed |
author_sort | Bushira, Kedir Mohammed |
collection | PubMed |
description | SARS-CoV-2 infections are now spreading across the world. Different measures were used by governments around the world to combat the spread of COVID-19. The efficacy of social distancing approaches in reducing the spread of COVID-19 in Ethiopia was investigated using geospatial technologies and the CHIME model. The COVID-19 response was predicted, measured, and compared after 25%, 75%, and 95% social distancing interventions in Ethiopia. Social distancing strategies flatten and delay the epidemic curve, according to the model findings. The model result shows that most new events and hospitalizations were avoided when social distancing measures were in effect. Social distancing can provide a critical time for increasing healthcare capability, and the research findings could assist policymakers in estimating the immediate number of resources required and planning for potential COVID-19 initiatives in Ethiopia. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8160555 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Springer International Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-81605552021-05-28 Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia Bushira, Kedir Mohammed Model Earth Syst Environ Original Article SARS-CoV-2 infections are now spreading across the world. Different measures were used by governments around the world to combat the spread of COVID-19. The efficacy of social distancing approaches in reducing the spread of COVID-19 in Ethiopia was investigated using geospatial technologies and the CHIME model. The COVID-19 response was predicted, measured, and compared after 25%, 75%, and 95% social distancing interventions in Ethiopia. Social distancing strategies flatten and delay the epidemic curve, according to the model findings. The model result shows that most new events and hospitalizations were avoided when social distancing measures were in effect. Social distancing can provide a critical time for increasing healthcare capability, and the research findings could assist policymakers in estimating the immediate number of resources required and planning for potential COVID-19 initiatives in Ethiopia. Springer International Publishing 2021-05-28 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8160555/ /pubmed/34075343 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40808-021-01190-9 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Original Article Bushira, Kedir Mohammed Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia |
title | Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia |
title_full | Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia |
title_fullStr | Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia |
title_full_unstemmed | Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia |
title_short | Modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia |
title_sort | modeling the effectiveness of social distancing interventions on the epidemic curve of coronavirus disease in ethiopia |
topic | Original Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8160555/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34075343 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40808-021-01190-9 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT bushirakedirmohammed modelingtheeffectivenessofsocialdistancinginterventionsontheepidemiccurveofcoronavirusdiseaseinethiopia |