Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France

Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalisations to plateau by decreasing transmission of the hist...

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Autores principales: Di Domenico, Laura, Sabbatini, Chiara E, Pullano, Giulia, Lévy-Bruhl, Daniel, Colizza, Vittoria
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2021
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8167415/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33860748
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272
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author Di Domenico, Laura
Sabbatini, Chiara E
Pullano, Giulia
Lévy-Bruhl, Daniel
Colizza, Vittoria
author_facet Di Domenico, Laura
Sabbatini, Chiara E
Pullano, Giulia
Lévy-Bruhl, Daniel
Colizza, Vittoria
author_sort Di Domenico, Laura
collection PubMed
description Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalisations to plateau by decreasing transmission of the historical strains while B.1.1.7 continued to grow. School holidays appear to have further slowed down progression in February. Without progressively strengthened social distancing, a rapid surge of hospitalisations is expected, despite the foreseen increase in vaccination rhythm.
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spelling pubmed-81674152021-06-04 Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France Di Domenico, Laura Sabbatini, Chiara E Pullano, Giulia Lévy-Bruhl, Daniel Colizza, Vittoria Euro Surveill Rapid Communication Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalisations to plateau by decreasing transmission of the historical strains while B.1.1.7 continued to grow. School holidays appear to have further slowed down progression in February. Without progressively strengthened social distancing, a rapid surge of hospitalisations is expected, despite the foreseen increase in vaccination rhythm. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2021-04-15 /pmc/articles/PMC8167415/ /pubmed/33860748 http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272 Text en This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2021. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Rapid Communication
Di Domenico, Laura
Sabbatini, Chiara E
Pullano, Giulia
Lévy-Bruhl, Daniel
Colizza, Vittoria
Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
title Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
title_full Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
title_fullStr Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
title_full_unstemmed Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
title_short Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
title_sort impact of january 2021 curfew measures on sars-cov-2 b.1.1.7 circulation in france
topic Rapid Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8167415/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33860748
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272
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