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Understanding death risks of Covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is rapidly spreading in the world and the mortality rate is getting higher and higher. Due to the outbreak of such epidemic disease, many countries imposed stricter measures among which is social distancing and enforced isolation. The present study tries to es...

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Autores principales: Taki, Regragui, El Fatini, Mohamed, El Khalifi, Mohamed, Lakhal, Mohammed, Wang, Kai
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Singapore 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8170655/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41478-021-00331-8
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author Taki, Regragui
El Fatini, Mohamed
El Khalifi, Mohamed
Lakhal, Mohammed
Wang, Kai
author_facet Taki, Regragui
El Fatini, Mohamed
El Khalifi, Mohamed
Lakhal, Mohammed
Wang, Kai
author_sort Taki, Regragui
collection PubMed
description The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is rapidly spreading in the world and the mortality rate is getting higher and higher. Due to the outbreak of such epidemic disease, many countries imposed stricter measures among which is social distancing and enforced isolation. The present study tries to establish a realistic model to characterize the dynamics of COVID-19 and explicitly parameterize the intervention effects of control measures. In so doing, it takes into account stochastic perturbation and investigates the effects of media coverage on the transmission dynamics. This paper seeks to study the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution to the proposed model and establish conditions for extinction and persistence in mean of the disease. Numerical simulations are presented to show the theoretical results obtained from this study.
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spelling pubmed-81706552021-06-02 Understanding death risks of Covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach Taki, Regragui El Fatini, Mohamed El Khalifi, Mohamed Lakhal, Mohammed Wang, Kai J Anal Original Research Paper The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is rapidly spreading in the world and the mortality rate is getting higher and higher. Due to the outbreak of such epidemic disease, many countries imposed stricter measures among which is social distancing and enforced isolation. The present study tries to establish a realistic model to characterize the dynamics of COVID-19 and explicitly parameterize the intervention effects of control measures. In so doing, it takes into account stochastic perturbation and investigates the effects of media coverage on the transmission dynamics. This paper seeks to study the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution to the proposed model and establish conditions for extinction and persistence in mean of the disease. Numerical simulations are presented to show the theoretical results obtained from this study. Springer Singapore 2021-06-02 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8170655/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41478-021-00331-8 Text en © Forum D'Analystes, Chennai 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Research Paper
Taki, Regragui
El Fatini, Mohamed
El Khalifi, Mohamed
Lakhal, Mohammed
Wang, Kai
Understanding death risks of Covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach
title Understanding death risks of Covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach
title_full Understanding death risks of Covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach
title_fullStr Understanding death risks of Covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach
title_full_unstemmed Understanding death risks of Covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach
title_short Understanding death risks of Covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach
title_sort understanding death risks of covid-19 under media awareness strategy: a stochastic approach
topic Original Research Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8170655/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41478-021-00331-8
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