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Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes

The shift in climate regimes around 1970s caused an overall enhancement of precipitation extremes across the globe with a specific spatial distribution pattern. We used gridded observational-reanalysis precipitation dataset and two important extreme precipitation measures, namely Annual Maximum Dail...

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Autores principales: Sarkar, Subharthi, Maity, Rajib
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8172922/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34078957
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90854-8
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author Sarkar, Subharthi
Maity, Rajib
author_facet Sarkar, Subharthi
Maity, Rajib
author_sort Sarkar, Subharthi
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description The shift in climate regimes around 1970s caused an overall enhancement of precipitation extremes across the globe with a specific spatial distribution pattern. We used gridded observational-reanalysis precipitation dataset and two important extreme precipitation measures, namely Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation (AMDP) and Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP). AMDP is reported to increase for almost two-third of the global land area. The variability of AMDP is found to increase more than its mean that eventually results in increased PMP almost worldwide, less near equator and maximum around mid-latitudes. Continent-wise, such increase in AMDP and PMP is true for all continents except some parts of Africa. The zone-wise analysis (dividing the globe into nine precipitation zones) reveals that zones of ‘moderate precipitation’ and ‘moderate seasonality’ exhibit the maximum increases in PMP. Recent increased in pole-ward heat and moisture transport as a result of Arctic Amplification may be associated with such spatial redistribution of precipitation extremes in the northern hemisphere.
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spelling pubmed-81729222021-06-04 Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes Sarkar, Subharthi Maity, Rajib Sci Rep Article The shift in climate regimes around 1970s caused an overall enhancement of precipitation extremes across the globe with a specific spatial distribution pattern. We used gridded observational-reanalysis precipitation dataset and two important extreme precipitation measures, namely Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation (AMDP) and Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP). AMDP is reported to increase for almost two-third of the global land area. The variability of AMDP is found to increase more than its mean that eventually results in increased PMP almost worldwide, less near equator and maximum around mid-latitudes. Continent-wise, such increase in AMDP and PMP is true for all continents except some parts of Africa. The zone-wise analysis (dividing the globe into nine precipitation zones) reveals that zones of ‘moderate precipitation’ and ‘moderate seasonality’ exhibit the maximum increases in PMP. Recent increased in pole-ward heat and moisture transport as a result of Arctic Amplification may be associated with such spatial redistribution of precipitation extremes in the northern hemisphere. Nature Publishing Group UK 2021-06-02 /pmc/articles/PMC8172922/ /pubmed/34078957 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90854-8 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Sarkar, Subharthi
Maity, Rajib
Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes
title Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes
title_full Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes
title_fullStr Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes
title_full_unstemmed Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes
title_short Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes
title_sort global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8172922/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34078957
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90854-8
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