Prevalence of stillbirth and its associated factors in East Africa: generalized linear mixed modeling

BACKGROUND: Stillbirth is the most frequently reported adverse pregnancy outcome worldwide, which imposes significant psychological and economic consequences to mothers and affected families. East African countries account for one-third of the 2.6 million stillbirths globally. Though stillbirth is a common public health problem in East African countries, there is limited evidence on the pooled prevalence and associated factors of stillbirth in East Africa. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the prevalence of stillbirth and its associated factors in East Africa. METHODS: This study was based on the most recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHSs) of 12 East African countries. A total weighted sample of 138,800 reproductive-age women who gave birth during the study period were included in this study. The prevalence of stillbirth with the 95% Confidence Interval (CI) was reported using a forest plot. A mixed-effect binary logistic regression analysis was done to identify significantly associated factors of stillbirth. Since the DHS data has hierarchical nature, the presence of clustering effect was assessed using the Likelihood Ratio (LR) test, and Intra-cluster Correlation Coefficient (ICC), and deviance were used for model comparison. Variables with a p-value of less than 0.2 in the bi-variable analysis were considered for the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable mixed-effect binary logistic regression analysis, the Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) with 95% CI were reported to declare the strength and significance of the association. RESULTS: The prevalence of stillbirth in East Africa was 0.86% (95% CI: 0.82, 0.91) ranged from 0.39% in Kenya to 2.28% in Burundi. In the mixed-effect analysis; country, women aged 25–34 years (AOR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.45), women aged ≥ 35 years (AOR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.44), poor household wealth (AOR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.23), women who didn’t have media exposure (AOR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.25), divorced/widowed/separated marital status (AOR = 2.99, 95% CI: 2.04, 4.39), caesarean delivery (AOR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.52, 2.15), preceding birth interval < 24 months (AOR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.24), women attained secondary education or above (AOR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.56, 0.81) and preceding birth interval ≥ 49 months (AOR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.28, 1.65) were significantly associated with stillbirth. CONCLUSIONS: Stillbirth remains a major public health problem in East Africa, which varied significantly across countries. These findings highlight the weak health care system of East African countries. Preceding birth interval, county, maternal education media exposure, household wealth status, marital status, and mode of delivery were significantly associated with stillbirth. Therefore, public health programs enhancing maternal education, media access, and optimizing birth spacing should be designed to reduce the incidence of stillbirth.