Atrial Fibrillation After Ischemic Stroke Detected by Chest Strap-Style 7-Day Holter Monitoring and the Risk Predictors: EDUCATE-ESUS

Aim: This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic yield of 7-day Holter monitoring for detecting covert atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with recent embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) and to identify the pre-entry screening biomarkers that had significant associations with later detection of AF (clinicaltrials.gov. NCT02801708). Methods: A total of 206 patients who have recent ESUS without previously documented AF underwent Holter electrocardiography using a chest strap-style monitor. External validation of biomarkers predictive of AF was performed using 83 patients with ESUS who were implanted with insertable cardiac monitors. Results: The 7-day Holter monitoring started at a median of 13 days after the onset of stroke. AF was detected in 14 patients, and three of these showed a single AF episode lasting ＜2 min. The median time delay to the first documented AF was 50 h. Each of serum brain natriuretic peptide ≥ 66.0 pg/mL (adjusted odds ratio 5.23), atrial premature contractions (APCs) ≥ 345 beats (3.80), and APC short runs ≥ 13 (5.74) on 24-h Holter prior to the 7-day Holter showed a significant association with detection of AF, independent of age and physiological findings in this derivation cohort, and all of these showed a significant association in the validation cohort (adjusted odds ratio 6.59, 7.87, and 6.16, respectively). Conclusions: In recent ESUS patients, the detection rate of AF using the 7-day Holter monitoring was 6.8% (95% CI 4.1%–11.1%). Brain natriuretic peptide, APC count, and APC short runs in the standard clinical workup seemed to be predictors of covert AF.