Shortened leukocyte telomere length as a potential biomarker for predicting the progression of atrial fibrillation from paroxysm to persistence in the short-term

This study aimed to assess the role of leukocyte telomere length (LTL) in the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) among Chinese patients. This is a cross-sectional study. A total of 350 patients from June 2016 to December 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. These included 219 AF patients and 131 with sinus rhythm in the control group. Quantitative real-time PCR was used to measure relative LTL. The relative LTLs of all subjects (n = 350) ranged from 0.4 to 2.41 (0.98 ± 0.29), showing a significant negative correlation (P < .001) with age. The AF-group had significantly shorter LTLs (0.93 ± 0.26 vs 1.07 ± 0.33, P < .001) and were older (61.50 ± 6.49 vs 59.95 ± 6.17, P = .028) than controls. LTLs among patients with persistent AF (PsAF), paroxysmal AF (PAF), and controls were significantly different (P < .001), with LTLs of PsAF patients being the shortest and controls being the longest. After adjusting for possible confounding factors, the PsAF group still showed significantly shorter LTLs than the PAF and control groups (P = .013 and P = .001, respectively). After an 18-month follow-up, 20 out of 119 PAF patients had progressed into PsAF and a relative LTL of ≤0.73 was an independent predictor for progression of PAF into PsAF. LTL was found to be shorter in patients with AF than in age-matched individuals with sinus rhythm and positively correlated with severity of AF. LTL shortening could be an independent risk factor for progression from paroxysmal AF to persistent AF in the short term.