Cargando…

New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values

The p-value has been debated exorbitantly in the last decades, experiencing fierce critique, but also finding some advocates. The fundamental issue with its misleading interpretation stems from its common use for testing the unrealistic null hypothesis of an effect that is precisely zero. A meaningf...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Stahel, Werner A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8208587/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34133444
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252991
_version_ 1783708955692761088
author Stahel, Werner A.
author_facet Stahel, Werner A.
author_sort Stahel, Werner A.
collection PubMed
description The p-value has been debated exorbitantly in the last decades, experiencing fierce critique, but also finding some advocates. The fundamental issue with its misleading interpretation stems from its common use for testing the unrealistic null hypothesis of an effect that is precisely zero. A meaningful question asks instead whether the effect is relevant. It is then unavoidable that a threshold for relevance is chosen. Considerations that can lead to agreeable conventions for this choice are presented for several commonly used statistical situations. Based on the threshold, a simple quantitative measure of relevance emerges naturally. Statistical inference for the effect should be based on the confidence interval for the relevance measure. A classification of results that goes beyond a simple distinction like “significant / non-significant” is proposed. On the other hand, if desired, a single number called the “secured relevance” may summarize the result, like the p-value does it, but with a scientifically meaningful interpretation.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-8208587
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2021
publisher Public Library of Science
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-82085872021-06-29 New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values Stahel, Werner A. PLoS One Research Article The p-value has been debated exorbitantly in the last decades, experiencing fierce critique, but also finding some advocates. The fundamental issue with its misleading interpretation stems from its common use for testing the unrealistic null hypothesis of an effect that is precisely zero. A meaningful question asks instead whether the effect is relevant. It is then unavoidable that a threshold for relevance is chosen. Considerations that can lead to agreeable conventions for this choice are presented for several commonly used statistical situations. Based on the threshold, a simple quantitative measure of relevance emerges naturally. Statistical inference for the effect should be based on the confidence interval for the relevance measure. A classification of results that goes beyond a simple distinction like “significant / non-significant” is proposed. On the other hand, if desired, a single number called the “secured relevance” may summarize the result, like the p-value does it, but with a scientifically meaningful interpretation. Public Library of Science 2021-06-16 /pmc/articles/PMC8208587/ /pubmed/34133444 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252991 Text en © 2021 Werner A. Stahel https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Stahel, Werner A.
New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values
title New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values
title_full New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values
title_fullStr New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values
title_full_unstemmed New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values
title_short New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values
title_sort new relevance and significance measures to replace p-values
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8208587/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34133444
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252991
work_keys_str_mv AT stahelwernera newrelevanceandsignificancemeasurestoreplacepvalues