Cargando…
New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values
The p-value has been debated exorbitantly in the last decades, experiencing fierce critique, but also finding some advocates. The fundamental issue with its misleading interpretation stems from its common use for testing the unrealistic null hypothesis of an effect that is precisely zero. A meaningf...
Autor principal: | |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2021
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8208587/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34133444 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252991 |
_version_ | 1783708955692761088 |
---|---|
author | Stahel, Werner A. |
author_facet | Stahel, Werner A. |
author_sort | Stahel, Werner A. |
collection | PubMed |
description | The p-value has been debated exorbitantly in the last decades, experiencing fierce critique, but also finding some advocates. The fundamental issue with its misleading interpretation stems from its common use for testing the unrealistic null hypothesis of an effect that is precisely zero. A meaningful question asks instead whether the effect is relevant. It is then unavoidable that a threshold for relevance is chosen. Considerations that can lead to agreeable conventions for this choice are presented for several commonly used statistical situations. Based on the threshold, a simple quantitative measure of relevance emerges naturally. Statistical inference for the effect should be based on the confidence interval for the relevance measure. A classification of results that goes beyond a simple distinction like “significant / non-significant” is proposed. On the other hand, if desired, a single number called the “secured relevance” may summarize the result, like the p-value does it, but with a scientifically meaningful interpretation. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8208587 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-82085872021-06-29 New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values Stahel, Werner A. PLoS One Research Article The p-value has been debated exorbitantly in the last decades, experiencing fierce critique, but also finding some advocates. The fundamental issue with its misleading interpretation stems from its common use for testing the unrealistic null hypothesis of an effect that is precisely zero. A meaningful question asks instead whether the effect is relevant. It is then unavoidable that a threshold for relevance is chosen. Considerations that can lead to agreeable conventions for this choice are presented for several commonly used statistical situations. Based on the threshold, a simple quantitative measure of relevance emerges naturally. Statistical inference for the effect should be based on the confidence interval for the relevance measure. A classification of results that goes beyond a simple distinction like “significant / non-significant” is proposed. On the other hand, if desired, a single number called the “secured relevance” may summarize the result, like the p-value does it, but with a scientifically meaningful interpretation. Public Library of Science 2021-06-16 /pmc/articles/PMC8208587/ /pubmed/34133444 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252991 Text en © 2021 Werner A. Stahel https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Stahel, Werner A. New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values |
title | New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values |
title_full | New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values |
title_fullStr | New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values |
title_full_unstemmed | New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values |
title_short | New relevance and significance measures to replace p-values |
title_sort | new relevance and significance measures to replace p-values |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8208587/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34133444 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252991 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT stahelwernera newrelevanceandsignificancemeasurestoreplacepvalues |