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Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds

In this paper, we have considered a deterministic epidemic model with logistic growth rate of the susceptible population, non-monotone incidence rate, nonlinear treatment function with impact of limited hospital beds and performed control strategies. The existence and stability of equilibria as well...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Saha, Pritam, Ghosh, Uttam
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8214984/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34177118
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06607-9
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author Saha, Pritam
Ghosh, Uttam
author_facet Saha, Pritam
Ghosh, Uttam
author_sort Saha, Pritam
collection PubMed
description In this paper, we have considered a deterministic epidemic model with logistic growth rate of the susceptible population, non-monotone incidence rate, nonlinear treatment function with impact of limited hospital beds and performed control strategies. The existence and stability of equilibria as well as persistence and extinction of the infection have been studied here. We have investigated different types of bifurcations, namely Transcritical bifurcation, Backward bifurcation, Saddle-node bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation, at different equilibrium points under some parametric restrictions. Numerical simulation for each of the above-defined bifurcations shows the complex dynamical phenomenon of the infectious disease. Furthermore, optimal control strategies are performed using Pontryagin’s maximum principle and strategies of controls are studied for two infectious diseases. Lastly using efficiency analysis we have found the effective control strategies for both cases.
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spelling pubmed-82149842021-06-21 Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds Saha, Pritam Ghosh, Uttam Nonlinear Dyn Original Paper In this paper, we have considered a deterministic epidemic model with logistic growth rate of the susceptible population, non-monotone incidence rate, nonlinear treatment function with impact of limited hospital beds and performed control strategies. The existence and stability of equilibria as well as persistence and extinction of the infection have been studied here. We have investigated different types of bifurcations, namely Transcritical bifurcation, Backward bifurcation, Saddle-node bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation, at different equilibrium points under some parametric restrictions. Numerical simulation for each of the above-defined bifurcations shows the complex dynamical phenomenon of the infectious disease. Furthermore, optimal control strategies are performed using Pontryagin’s maximum principle and strategies of controls are studied for two infectious diseases. Lastly using efficiency analysis we have found the effective control strategies for both cases. Springer Netherlands 2021-06-21 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8214984/ /pubmed/34177118 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06607-9 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Paper
Saha, Pritam
Ghosh, Uttam
Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
title Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
title_full Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
title_fullStr Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
title_full_unstemmed Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
title_short Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
title_sort global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
topic Original Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8214984/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34177118
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06607-9
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