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Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset
This letter develops an easily-implementable version of Page's CUSUM quickest-detection test, designed to work in certain composite hypothesis scenarios with time-varying data statistics. The decision statistic can be cast in a recursive form and is particularly suited for on-line analysis. By...
| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
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| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
IEEE
2021
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8216249/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34163125 http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/LSP.2021.3068072 |
| _version_ | 1783710378568450048 |
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| collection | PubMed |
| description | This letter develops an easily-implementable version of Page's CUSUM quickest-detection test, designed to work in certain composite hypothesis scenarios with time-varying data statistics. The decision statistic can be cast in a recursive form and is particularly suited for on-line analysis. By back-testing our approach on publicly-available COVID-19 data we find reliable early warning of infection flare-ups, in fact sufficiently early that the tool may be of use to decision-makers on the timing of restrictive measures that may in the future need to be taken. |
| format | Online Article Text |
| id | pubmed-8216249 |
| institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publisher | IEEE |
| record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
| spelling | pubmed-82162492022-01-01 Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset IEEE Signal Process Lett Article This letter develops an easily-implementable version of Page's CUSUM quickest-detection test, designed to work in certain composite hypothesis scenarios with time-varying data statistics. The decision statistic can be cast in a recursive form and is particularly suited for on-line analysis. By back-testing our approach on publicly-available COVID-19 data we find reliable early warning of infection flare-ups, in fact sufficiently early that the tool may be of use to decision-makers on the timing of restrictive measures that may in the future need to be taken. IEEE 2021-03-24 /pmc/articles/PMC8216249/ /pubmed/34163125 http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/LSP.2021.3068072 Text en © IEEE 2021. This article is free to access and download, along with rights for full text and data mining, re-use and analysis. |
| spellingShingle | Article Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset |
| title | Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset |
| title_full | Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset |
| title_fullStr | Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset |
| title_full_unstemmed | Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset |
| title_short | Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset |
| title_sort | quickest detection of covid-19 pandemic onset |
| topic | Article |
| url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8216249/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34163125 http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/LSP.2021.3068072 |
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