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Climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
Predicting the change in carbon storage in regions of high carbon uptake and those under highly intensive human disturbance is crucial for regional ecosystem management to promote sustainable development of the economy and ecology in the future. We use a process‐based model to estimate the terrestri...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8216885/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34188807 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.7414 |
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author | Gu, Fengxue Zhang, Yuandong Huang, Mei Yu, Li Yan, Huimin Guo, Rui Zhang, Li Zhong, Xiuli Yan, Changrong |
author_facet | Gu, Fengxue Zhang, Yuandong Huang, Mei Yu, Li Yan, Huimin Guo, Rui Zhang, Li Zhong, Xiuli Yan, Changrong |
author_sort | Gu, Fengxue |
collection | PubMed |
description | Predicting the change in carbon storage in regions of high carbon uptake and those under highly intensive human disturbance is crucial for regional ecosystem management to promote sustainable development of the economy and ecology in the future. We use a process‐based model to estimate the terrestrial carbon storage in Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and to predict the change of carbon storage over the next 100 years. The results show that the vegetation carbon (VC) and soil organic carbon (SOC) storage were 8.97 and 28.85 Pg C in the YREB from 1981 to 2005, respectively. The highest VC density is distributed in the southern region of the YREB, and the highest SOC density distributes in subalpine and alpine area of the western region of the YREB. Carbon storage in the YREB continued to increase from 1981 to 2005 and in future projections, under both the representative concentration pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) and the RCP8.5 scenarios. The increased rate of carbon storage in the YREB under the RCP8.5 scenario is higher than that under the RCP4.5 scenario. Under the RCP4.5 scenario, the increasing trend of VC storage tends to be reduced after the 2060s; conversely, the increase of both VC and SOC is accelerated after the 2050s under the RCP8.5 scenario. The SOC density in Western Sichuan will decrease in the future, especially under the RCP8.5 scenario. Western Sichuan has the highest SOC density in the YREB; therefore, it is important to manage the ecosystems there in order to cope with significant warming. The positive impact of warming and the CO(2) fertilization effect on vegetation growth and carbon uptake will be predominantly attributed to the increase of terrestrial carbon storage in the YREB. However, warming will stimulate the decomposition of soil organic carbon, contributing directly to reducing SOC storage in high‐altitude regions (e.g., alpine and subalpine regions of Western Sichuan). |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8216885 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | John Wiley and Sons Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-82168852021-06-28 Climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt Gu, Fengxue Zhang, Yuandong Huang, Mei Yu, Li Yan, Huimin Guo, Rui Zhang, Li Zhong, Xiuli Yan, Changrong Ecol Evol Original Research Predicting the change in carbon storage in regions of high carbon uptake and those under highly intensive human disturbance is crucial for regional ecosystem management to promote sustainable development of the economy and ecology in the future. We use a process‐based model to estimate the terrestrial carbon storage in Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and to predict the change of carbon storage over the next 100 years. The results show that the vegetation carbon (VC) and soil organic carbon (SOC) storage were 8.97 and 28.85 Pg C in the YREB from 1981 to 2005, respectively. The highest VC density is distributed in the southern region of the YREB, and the highest SOC density distributes in subalpine and alpine area of the western region of the YREB. Carbon storage in the YREB continued to increase from 1981 to 2005 and in future projections, under both the representative concentration pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) and the RCP8.5 scenarios. The increased rate of carbon storage in the YREB under the RCP8.5 scenario is higher than that under the RCP4.5 scenario. Under the RCP4.5 scenario, the increasing trend of VC storage tends to be reduced after the 2060s; conversely, the increase of both VC and SOC is accelerated after the 2050s under the RCP8.5 scenario. The SOC density in Western Sichuan will decrease in the future, especially under the RCP8.5 scenario. Western Sichuan has the highest SOC density in the YREB; therefore, it is important to manage the ecosystems there in order to cope with significant warming. The positive impact of warming and the CO(2) fertilization effect on vegetation growth and carbon uptake will be predominantly attributed to the increase of terrestrial carbon storage in the YREB. However, warming will stimulate the decomposition of soil organic carbon, contributing directly to reducing SOC storage in high‐altitude regions (e.g., alpine and subalpine regions of Western Sichuan). John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2021-06-04 /pmc/articles/PMC8216885/ /pubmed/34188807 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.7414 Text en © 2021 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Original Research Gu, Fengxue Zhang, Yuandong Huang, Mei Yu, Li Yan, Huimin Guo, Rui Zhang, Li Zhong, Xiuli Yan, Changrong Climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt |
title | Climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt |
title_full | Climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt |
title_fullStr | Climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt |
title_full_unstemmed | Climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt |
title_short | Climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt |
title_sort | climate‐induced increase in terrestrial carbon storage in the yangtze river economic belt |
topic | Original Research |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8216885/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34188807 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.7414 |
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