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A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour

Promoting walking or cycling and reducing cars’ use is one of the city planners’ main targets, contributing to a sustainable transport method. Yet, the number of vehicles worldwide is increasing as fast as the population, and motorized mobility has become the primary transport method in most cities....

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Autores principales: Prieto Curiel, Rafael, González Ramírez, Humberto, Quiñones Domínguez, Mauricio, Orjuela Mendoza, Juan Pablo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8220280/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34168887
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.201808
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author Prieto Curiel, Rafael
González Ramírez, Humberto
Quiñones Domínguez, Mauricio
Orjuela Mendoza, Juan Pablo
author_facet Prieto Curiel, Rafael
González Ramírez, Humberto
Quiñones Domínguez, Mauricio
Orjuela Mendoza, Juan Pablo
author_sort Prieto Curiel, Rafael
collection PubMed
description Promoting walking or cycling and reducing cars’ use is one of the city planners’ main targets, contributing to a sustainable transport method. Yet, the number of vehicles worldwide is increasing as fast as the population, and motorized mobility has become the primary transport method in most cities. Here, we consider modal share as an emergent behaviour of personal decisions. All individuals minimize their commuting time and reach an equilibrium under which no person is willing to change their transportation mode. In terms of the minimum travel time, the best-case scenario is used to determine the extra commuting time and the excess cars, computed as a social inefficiency. Results show that commuting times could increase up to 25% with many more vehicles than optimum. Paradoxically, all individuals trying to minimize their time could collectively reach the maximum commuting times in the extreme case, with all individuals driving during rush hour.
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spelling pubmed-82202802021-06-23 A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour Prieto Curiel, Rafael González Ramírez, Humberto Quiñones Domínguez, Mauricio Orjuela Mendoza, Juan Pablo R Soc Open Sci Mathematics Promoting walking or cycling and reducing cars’ use is one of the city planners’ main targets, contributing to a sustainable transport method. Yet, the number of vehicles worldwide is increasing as fast as the population, and motorized mobility has become the primary transport method in most cities. Here, we consider modal share as an emergent behaviour of personal decisions. All individuals minimize their commuting time and reach an equilibrium under which no person is willing to change their transportation mode. In terms of the minimum travel time, the best-case scenario is used to determine the extra commuting time and the excess cars, computed as a social inefficiency. Results show that commuting times could increase up to 25% with many more vehicles than optimum. Paradoxically, all individuals trying to minimize their time could collectively reach the maximum commuting times in the extreme case, with all individuals driving during rush hour. The Royal Society 2021-06-23 /pmc/articles/PMC8220280/ /pubmed/34168887 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.201808 Text en © 2021 The Authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Mathematics
Prieto Curiel, Rafael
González Ramírez, Humberto
Quiñones Domínguez, Mauricio
Orjuela Mendoza, Juan Pablo
A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour
title A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour
title_full A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour
title_fullStr A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour
title_full_unstemmed A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour
title_short A paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour
title_sort paradox of traffic and extra cars in a city as a collective behaviour
topic Mathematics
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8220280/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34168887
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.201808
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