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Estimation of the main conditions in (SARS-CoV-2) Covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using Machine learning, the case of Mexico

Nowadays, society faces a catastrophic problem related to respiratory syndrome due to the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2: the Covid-19 disease. This virus has changed our coexistence rules and, in consequence, has reshaped the daily activities in modern societies. Thus, there are many efforts to understand...

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Autores principales: Guzmán-Torres, José A., Alonso-Guzmán, Elia M., Domínguez-Mota, Francisco J., Tinoco-Guerrero, Gerardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8223079/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34189026
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104483
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author Guzmán-Torres, José A.
Alonso-Guzmán, Elia M.
Domínguez-Mota, Francisco J.
Tinoco-Guerrero, Gerardo
author_facet Guzmán-Torres, José A.
Alonso-Guzmán, Elia M.
Domínguez-Mota, Francisco J.
Tinoco-Guerrero, Gerardo
author_sort Guzmán-Torres, José A.
collection PubMed
description Nowadays, society faces a catastrophic problem related to respiratory syndrome due to the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2: the Covid-19 disease. This virus has changed our coexistence rules and, in consequence, has reshaped the daily activities in modern societies. Thus, there are many efforts to understand the virus behaviour in order to reduce its negative impact, and these efforts produce an incredible amount of information and data sources every week. Data scientists, which use techniques such as Machine learning, are focusing their abilities to develop mathematical models for analysing this critical situation. This paper uses Machine Learning techniques as tools to help understand some specific new patterns in Covid patients that arise from unknown complex interactions in the transmission-dynamic models of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, and their relation with the corresponding social contact patterns which are often known or can be inferred from populations variables. One of the main motivations of this research is to find the diseases that cause an increase in the risk of death in infected people with the Covid-19 virus. Mexico is the case of study in this research. The general conditions of health that cause death are well known generally in the world. However, these conditions in each country can differ depending on different factors such as the general health status of people. The results show that the principal causes of death in Mexico are related to age, bad eating habits, chronic diseases, and contact with infected people having not proper care. Results from the analysis show a remarkable accuracy of 87%, which is considered satisfactory.
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spelling pubmed-82230792021-06-25 Estimation of the main conditions in (SARS-CoV-2) Covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using Machine learning, the case of Mexico Guzmán-Torres, José A. Alonso-Guzmán, Elia M. Domínguez-Mota, Francisco J. Tinoco-Guerrero, Gerardo Results Phys Article Nowadays, society faces a catastrophic problem related to respiratory syndrome due to the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2: the Covid-19 disease. This virus has changed our coexistence rules and, in consequence, has reshaped the daily activities in modern societies. Thus, there are many efforts to understand the virus behaviour in order to reduce its negative impact, and these efforts produce an incredible amount of information and data sources every week. Data scientists, which use techniques such as Machine learning, are focusing their abilities to develop mathematical models for analysing this critical situation. This paper uses Machine Learning techniques as tools to help understand some specific new patterns in Covid patients that arise from unknown complex interactions in the transmission-dynamic models of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, and their relation with the corresponding social contact patterns which are often known or can be inferred from populations variables. One of the main motivations of this research is to find the diseases that cause an increase in the risk of death in infected people with the Covid-19 virus. Mexico is the case of study in this research. The general conditions of health that cause death are well known generally in the world. However, these conditions in each country can differ depending on different factors such as the general health status of people. The results show that the principal causes of death in Mexico are related to age, bad eating habits, chronic diseases, and contact with infected people having not proper care. Results from the analysis show a remarkable accuracy of 87%, which is considered satisfactory. The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-08 2021-06-24 /pmc/articles/PMC8223079/ /pubmed/34189026 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104483 Text en © 2021 The Author(s) Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Guzmán-Torres, José A.
Alonso-Guzmán, Elia M.
Domínguez-Mota, Francisco J.
Tinoco-Guerrero, Gerardo
Estimation of the main conditions in (SARS-CoV-2) Covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using Machine learning, the case of Mexico
title Estimation of the main conditions in (SARS-CoV-2) Covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using Machine learning, the case of Mexico
title_full Estimation of the main conditions in (SARS-CoV-2) Covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using Machine learning, the case of Mexico
title_fullStr Estimation of the main conditions in (SARS-CoV-2) Covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using Machine learning, the case of Mexico
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of the main conditions in (SARS-CoV-2) Covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using Machine learning, the case of Mexico
title_short Estimation of the main conditions in (SARS-CoV-2) Covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using Machine learning, the case of Mexico
title_sort estimation of the main conditions in (sars-cov-2) covid-19 patients that increase the risk of death using machine learning, the case of mexico
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8223079/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34189026
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104483
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