Predictors of Early-Recurrence Atrial Fibrillation after Catheter Ablation in Women and Men with Abnormal Body Weight

Our study aimed to select factors that affect the rate of early recurrence (up to 3 months) of atrial fibrillation (AF) (ERAF) following pulmonary veins isolation (PVI) in obese women and men. The study comprised 114 patients: 54 women (age: 63.8 ± 6.3, BMI 31 ± 4 kg/m(2)), and 60 men (age: 60.7 ± 6.7; BMI 31 ± 3 kg/m(2)) with paroxysmal, persistent and long-standing persistent AF. They had been scheduled to undergo cryoballoon (men n = 30; women n = 30) and radiofrequency (RF) ablation (men n = 30; women n = 24) using the CARTO-mapping. The blood was collected at baseline and 24 h after ablation. The rate of ERAF was comparable after cryoballoon and RF ablation and constituted 18% in women and 22% in men. Almost 70 parameters were selected to perform univariate and multivariate analysis and to create a multivariate logistic regression (MLR) model of ERAF in the obese men and women. The MLR analysis was performed by forward stepwise logistic regression with three variables. It was only possible to create the MLR model for the group of obese men. It revealed a poor predictive value with an unsatisfactory sensitivity of 31%. Men with ERAF: smokers (OR 39.25, 95% CI 1.050–1467.8, p = 0.0021), with a higher ST2 elevation (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.115–2.536, p = 0.0021) who received dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers (OR 0.042, 95% CI 0.002–1.071, p = 0.0021) less frequently. Our results indicate a complex pathogenesis of ERAF dependent on the patients’ gender.