Influence of Tumor Immune Infiltration on Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapeutic Efficacy: A Computational Retrospective Study

The tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) is likely an important determinant of sensitivity to immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment. However, a comprehensive analysis covering the complexity and diversity of the TIME and its influence on ICI therapeutic efficacy is still lacking. Data from 782 samples from 10 ICI clinical trials were collected. To infer the infiltration of 22 subsets of immune cells, CIBERSORTx was applied to the bulk tumor transcriptomes. The associations between each cell fraction and the response to ICI treatment, progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated, modeling cellular proportions as quartiles. Activity of the interferon-γ pathway, the cytolytic activity score and the MHC score were associated with good prognosis in melanoma. Of the immune cells investigated, M1 macrophages, activated memory CD4(+) T cells, T follicular helper (Tfh) cells and CD8(+) T cells correlated with response and prolonged PFS and OS, while resting memory CD4(+) T cells was associated with unfavorable prognosis in melanoma and urothelial cancer. Consensus clustering revealed four immune subgroups with distinct responses to ICI therapy and survival patterns. The cluster with high proportions of infiltrated CD8(+) T cells, activated memory CD4(+) T cells, and Tfh cells and low levels of resting memory CD4(+) T cells exhibited a higher tumor mutation burden and neoantigen load in melanoma and conferred a higher probability of response and improved survival. Local systemic immune cellular differences were associated with outcomes after ICI therapy. Further investigations of the tumor-infiltrating cellular immune response will lay the foundation for achieving durable efficacy.