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How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?

We performed large-scale numerical simulations using a composite model to investigate the infection spread in a supermarket during a pandemic. The model is composed of the social force, purchasing strategy and infection transmission models. Specifically, we quantified the infection risk for customer...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Tsukanov, Alexey A., Senjkevich, Alexandra M., Fedorov, Maxim V., Brilliantov, Nikolai V.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8248742/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34197504
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0253835
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author Tsukanov, Alexey A.
Senjkevich, Alexandra M.
Fedorov, Maxim V.
Brilliantov, Nikolai V.
author_facet Tsukanov, Alexey A.
Senjkevich, Alexandra M.
Fedorov, Maxim V.
Brilliantov, Nikolai V.
author_sort Tsukanov, Alexey A.
collection PubMed
description We performed large-scale numerical simulations using a composite model to investigate the infection spread in a supermarket during a pandemic. The model is composed of the social force, purchasing strategy and infection transmission models. Specifically, we quantified the infection risk for customers while in a supermarket that depended on the number of customers, the purchase strategies and the physical layout of the supermarket. The ratio of new infections compared to sales efficiency (earned profit for customer purchases) was computed as a factor of customer density and social distance. Our results indicate that the social distance between customers is the primary factor influencing infection rate. Supermarket layout and purchasing strategy do not impact social distance and hence the spread of infection. Moreover, we found only a weak dependence of sales efficiency and customer density. We believe that our study will help to establish scientifically-based safety rules that will reduce the social price of supermarket business.
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spelling pubmed-82487422021-07-09 How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic? Tsukanov, Alexey A. Senjkevich, Alexandra M. Fedorov, Maxim V. Brilliantov, Nikolai V. PLoS One Research Article We performed large-scale numerical simulations using a composite model to investigate the infection spread in a supermarket during a pandemic. The model is composed of the social force, purchasing strategy and infection transmission models. Specifically, we quantified the infection risk for customers while in a supermarket that depended on the number of customers, the purchase strategies and the physical layout of the supermarket. The ratio of new infections compared to sales efficiency (earned profit for customer purchases) was computed as a factor of customer density and social distance. Our results indicate that the social distance between customers is the primary factor influencing infection rate. Supermarket layout and purchasing strategy do not impact social distance and hence the spread of infection. Moreover, we found only a weak dependence of sales efficiency and customer density. We believe that our study will help to establish scientifically-based safety rules that will reduce the social price of supermarket business. Public Library of Science 2021-07-01 /pmc/articles/PMC8248742/ /pubmed/34197504 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0253835 Text en © 2021 Tsukanov et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Tsukanov, Alexey A.
Senjkevich, Alexandra M.
Fedorov, Maxim V.
Brilliantov, Nikolai V.
How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_full How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_fullStr How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_full_unstemmed How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_short How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
title_sort how risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8248742/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34197504
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0253835
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