A 5-Genomic Mutation Signature Can Predict the Survival for Patients With NSCLC Receiving Atezolizumab

BACKGROUND: At present, there is a lack of studies focusing on the survival prediction of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) receiving atezolizumab in light of gene mutation characteristic. METHODS: Patients with NSCLC receiving atezolizumab from the OAK study were defined as the training group. LASSO Cox regressions were applied to establish the gene mutation signature model to predict the overall survival (OS) rate of the training group. NSCLC patients receiving atezolizumab from the POPLAR study were defined as the testing group to validate the gene mutation signature model. In addition, we compared the OS rate between patients receiving atezolizumab and docetaxel classified according to their risk score based on our gene mutation signature model. RESULTS: We successfully established a 5-genomic mutation signature that included CREBBP, KEAP1, RAF1, STK11 and TP53 mutations. We found it was superior to the blood tumor mutation burden (bTMB) score and programmed death ligand 1 (PDL1) expression in the prediction of the OS rate for patients receiving atezolizumab. High-risk patients receiving atezolizumab had a worse OS rate compared with low-risk patients in the training (P = 0.0004) and testing (P = 0.0001) groups. In addition, low-risk patients using atezolizumab had a better OS rate compared with those in use of docetaxel for the training (P <0.0001) and testing groups (P = 0.0095). High-risk patients of the training group (P = 0.0265) using atezolizumab had a better OS rate compared with those using docetaxel. However, the OS difference between atezolizumab and docetaxel was not found in high-risk patients from the testing group (P = 0.6403). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the risk model in light of 5-genomic mutation signature was an independent prognostic factor on OS for patients receiving atezolizumab (P <0.0001). In addition, significant OS benefit could only be found in low-risk patients receiving atezolizumab compared with docetaxel (P <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The 5-genomic mutation signature could predict OS benefit for patients with NSCLC receiving atezolizumab. Therefore, the establishment of the 5-genomic mutation panel will guide clinicians to identify optimal patients who could benefit from atezolizumab treatment.