SurvCNN: A Discrete Time-to-Event Cancer Survival Estimation Framework Using Image Representations of Omics Data

SIMPLE SUMMARY: Robust methods for modelling and estimation of cancer survival could be relevant in understanding and limiting the impact of cancer. This study was aimed at developing an efficient Machine learning (ML) pipeline that could model survival in Lung Adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients. Image transformations of multi omics data were employed for training a machine vision-based model capable of segregating patients into high-risk and low-risk subgroups. The performance was evaluated using concordance index, Brier score, and other similar metrices. The proposed model was able to outperform similar methods with a high degree of confidence. Furthermore, critical modules in cell cycle and pathways were also identified. ABSTRACT: The utility of multi-omics in personalized therapy and cancer survival analysis has been debated and demonstrated extensively in the recent past. Most of the current methods still suffer from data constraints such as high-dimensionality, unexplained interdependence, and subpar integration methods. Here, we propose SurvCNN, an alternative approach to process multi-omics data with robust computer vision architectures, to predict cancer prognosis for Lung Adenocarcinoma patients. Numerical multi-omics data were transformed into their image representations and fed into a Convolutional Neural network with a discrete-time model to predict survival probabilities. The framework also dichotomized patients into risk subgroups based on their survival probabilities over time. SurvCNN was evaluated on multiple performance metrics and outperformed existing methods with a high degree of confidence. Moreover, comprehensive insights into the relative performance of various combinations of omics datasets were probed. Critical biological processes, pathways and cell types identified from downstream processing of differentially expressed genes suggested that the framework could elucidate elements detrimental to a patient’s survival. Such integrative models with high predictive power would have a significant impact and utility in precision oncology.