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Changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: A 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries

BACKGROUND: Natural disasters are believed to be associated with cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to explore the changes in mortality due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) and their associations with natural disasters at the global level. METHODS: Country-specific data on the impact of natural...

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Autores principales: Huang, Kai-Sen, He, Ding-Xiu, Huang, De-Jia, Tao, Qian-Lan, Deng, Xiao-Jian, Zhang, Biao, Mai, Gang, Guha-Sapir, Debarati
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8270471/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34242366
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254459
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author Huang, Kai-Sen
He, Ding-Xiu
Huang, De-Jia
Tao, Qian-Lan
Deng, Xiao-Jian
Zhang, Biao
Mai, Gang
Guha-Sapir, Debarati
author_facet Huang, Kai-Sen
He, Ding-Xiu
Huang, De-Jia
Tao, Qian-Lan
Deng, Xiao-Jian
Zhang, Biao
Mai, Gang
Guha-Sapir, Debarati
author_sort Huang, Kai-Sen
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Natural disasters are believed to be associated with cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to explore the changes in mortality due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) and their associations with natural disasters at the global level. METHODS: Country-specific data on the impact of natural disasters, rates of mortality due to IHD and years of life lost (YLL) and socioeconomic variables were obtained for 193 countries for the period from 1990 to 2017. An ecological trend study was conducted to estimate the changes in the IHD mortality and YLL rates and their associations with natural disasters (occurrence, casualties and total damage). Correlation analyses and multivariate linear regression were used. RESULTS: Significant changes were found in the IHD mortality and YLL rates and the occurrence of disasters between the two equal periods (1990 to 2003 and 2004 to 2017) (p<0.001). The bivariate Pearson correlation test revealed that the trend in the occurrence of natural disasters was positively correlated with trends in the IHD mortality and YLL rates among females and all individuals (p<0.05) and was marginally correlated among males. Multiple linear regression revealed an independent association between the occurrence of natural disasters and the IHD mortality rate among males, females and all individuals (standardized coefficients = 0.163, 0.357 and 0.241, p<0.05), and similar associations were found for the YLL rate (standardized coefficients = 0.194, 0.233 and 0.189, p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated significant changes in the IHD mortality and YLL rates at the global level and their independent associations with natural disasters. Both males and females were vulnerable to natural disasters. These results provide evidence that can be used to support policy making and resource allocation when responding to disasters and developing strategies to reduce the burden of IHD.
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spelling pubmed-82704712021-07-21 Changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: A 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries Huang, Kai-Sen He, Ding-Xiu Huang, De-Jia Tao, Qian-Lan Deng, Xiao-Jian Zhang, Biao Mai, Gang Guha-Sapir, Debarati PLoS One Research Article BACKGROUND: Natural disasters are believed to be associated with cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to explore the changes in mortality due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) and their associations with natural disasters at the global level. METHODS: Country-specific data on the impact of natural disasters, rates of mortality due to IHD and years of life lost (YLL) and socioeconomic variables were obtained for 193 countries for the period from 1990 to 2017. An ecological trend study was conducted to estimate the changes in the IHD mortality and YLL rates and their associations with natural disasters (occurrence, casualties and total damage). Correlation analyses and multivariate linear regression were used. RESULTS: Significant changes were found in the IHD mortality and YLL rates and the occurrence of disasters between the two equal periods (1990 to 2003 and 2004 to 2017) (p<0.001). The bivariate Pearson correlation test revealed that the trend in the occurrence of natural disasters was positively correlated with trends in the IHD mortality and YLL rates among females and all individuals (p<0.05) and was marginally correlated among males. Multiple linear regression revealed an independent association between the occurrence of natural disasters and the IHD mortality rate among males, females and all individuals (standardized coefficients = 0.163, 0.357 and 0.241, p<0.05), and similar associations were found for the YLL rate (standardized coefficients = 0.194, 0.233 and 0.189, p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated significant changes in the IHD mortality and YLL rates at the global level and their independent associations with natural disasters. Both males and females were vulnerable to natural disasters. These results provide evidence that can be used to support policy making and resource allocation when responding to disasters and developing strategies to reduce the burden of IHD. Public Library of Science 2021-07-09 /pmc/articles/PMC8270471/ /pubmed/34242366 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254459 Text en © 2021 Huang et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Huang, Kai-Sen
He, Ding-Xiu
Huang, De-Jia
Tao, Qian-Lan
Deng, Xiao-Jian
Zhang, Biao
Mai, Gang
Guha-Sapir, Debarati
Changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: A 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries
title Changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: A 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries
title_full Changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: A 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries
title_fullStr Changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: A 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries
title_full_unstemmed Changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: A 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries
title_short Changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: A 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries
title_sort changes in ischemic heart disease mortality at the global level and their associations with natural disasters: a 28-year ecological trend study in 193 countries
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8270471/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34242366
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254459
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