Analysis of pediatric emergency department patient volume trends during the COVID-19 pandemic

During the early period of the COVID-19 pandemic there was a substantial decrease in pediatric emergency department (PED) visitation. The intent of this study is to report PED utilization during the COVID-19 pandemic in an urban pediatric referral center located close to the epicenter in the northeastern US. A retrospective analysis of medical records of patients visiting the PED at Robert Wood Johnson University Hospital (RWJUH) was performed. Data included: daily census, admission rate, Emergency Severity Index, and ICD-10 diagnosis codes for the period of February through July, 2018 to 2020. By the week of March 26th, visits had decreased by 70% compared to the average of the previous 2 years. This census nadir lasted for 6 weeks. At 5 weeks postnadir the average daily census recovered to levels 40% lower than prior year norms and remained at that level during subsequent months. The greatest decreases were seen in low-acuity visits. Visits for behavioral health and fractures decreased by approximately 50% and 70%, respectively, but recovered to prior year norms by June and July of 2020. Visits for asthma exacerbation decreased by as much as 87% and remained at record lows for the remainder of the study period. A substantial and persistent decrease in PED visitation was experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic. Whereas visits for behavioral health and fractures have recovered to prior year norms, visits for asthma exacerbation remain at record lows. Further research is needed to ascertain the causes of these changes, including patient perceptions of the PED.