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Comparing expert elicitation and model-based probabilistic technology cost forecasts for the energy transition
We conduct a systematic comparison of technology cost forecasts produced by expert elicitation methods and model-based methods. Our focus is on energy technologies due to their importance for energy and climate policy. We assess the performance of several forecasting methods by generating probabilis...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2021
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8271727/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34183405 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1917165118 |