Cargando…
Comparing expert elicitation and model-based probabilistic technology cost forecasts for the energy transition
We conduct a systematic comparison of technology cost forecasts produced by expert elicitation methods and model-based methods. Our focus is on energy technologies due to their importance for energy and climate policy. We assess the performance of several forecasting methods by generating probabilis...
Autores principales: | Meng, Jing, Way, Rupert, Verdolini, Elena, Diaz Anadon, Laura |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2021
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8271727/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34183405 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1917165118 |
Ejemplares similares
-
Probabilistic Load Forecasting for Building Energy Models
por: Lucas Segarra, Eva, et al.
Publicado: (2020) -
An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy
por: Xie, Yuying, et al.
Publicado: (2022) -
Probabilistic expert systems
por: Shafer, Glenn, 1946-
Publicado: (1996) -
Probabilistic forecasting of replication studies
por: Pawel, Samuel, et al.
Publicado: (2020) -
Recalibrating probabilistic forecasts of epidemics
por: Rumack, Aaron, et al.
Publicado: (2022)