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Comparing expert elicitation and model-based probabilistic technology cost forecasts for the energy transition

We conduct a systematic comparison of technology cost forecasts produced by expert elicitation methods and model-based methods. Our focus is on energy technologies due to their importance for energy and climate policy. We assess the performance of several forecasting methods by generating probabilis...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Meng, Jing, Way, Rupert, Verdolini, Elena, Diaz Anadon, Laura
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8271727/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34183405
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1917165118

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