Role of Urinary Beta 2 Microglobulin and Kidney Injury Molecule-1 in Predicting Kidney Function at One Year Following Acute Kidney Injury

BACKGROUND: There is only limited information on the utility of urinary biomarkers in predicting long-term kidney function following acute kidney injury (AKI). The current study assessed whether urinary beta 2 microglobulin/creatinine (B2M/creat) and kidney injury molecule-1/creatinine (KIM-1/creat) ratios, measured in the early recovery phase of AKI, are predictive of kidney function at one year. METHODS: This is a prospective study done in a tertiary care centre in South India, from March 2017 to December 2018. Adult patients who survived an episode of AKI were followed up for one year (n=125). B2M/creat and KIM-1/creat ratio were measured at two weeks and three months following AKI. RESULTS: In the AKI survivors, the B2M/creat ratio at 2 weeks [18.3mg/g (IQR 2.3, 52.9)] and KIM-1/creat ratio [1.1 µg/g (IQR 0.5, 4.0) at two weeks were higher compared to healthy controls [B2M/creat ratio 0.35 mg/g (0.17,0.58) and KIM-1/creat ratio 0.40 µg/g (0.23,1.00); P=<0.001]. After adjusting for covariates, the eGFR and urinary B2M/creat ratio at two weeks following AKI were predictive of eGFR at one year (P<0.001). KIM-1/ creat ratios were not predictive of eGFR at one year. A urinary B2M/creat ratio of 10.85 at two weeks following AKI had an 85.5% sensitivity (95% CI 74, 93) and 64.3% (95% CI 53, 75) specificity to predict CKD at one year. An eGFR cutoff of 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) at two weeks had a sensitivity of 81.8% (95% CI 69, 90) and specificity of 71.4% (95% CI 60, 81) for predicting CKD. The presence of either one criteria (urinary B2M/creat ratio >10.85 (mg/g) or eGFR <60 mL at two weeks) had a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 94%, 100%) in predicting CKD at one year. CONCLUSION: An eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m(2) and elevated urinary B2M/creat ratio at two weeks following AKI is predictive of low eGFR at one year. Urinary KIM-1/creat ratios do not predict CKD progression.