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Using prediction markets to predict the outcomes in the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency's next-generation social science programme
There is evidence that prediction markets are useful tools to aggregate information on researchers' beliefs about scientific results including the outcome of replications. In this study, we use prediction markets to forecast the results of novel experimental designs that test established theori...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8278038/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34295507 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.181308 |