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Using prediction markets to predict the outcomes in the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency's next-generation social science programme

There is evidence that prediction markets are useful tools to aggregate information on researchers' beliefs about scientific results including the outcome of replications. In this study, we use prediction markets to forecast the results of novel experimental designs that test established theori...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Viganola, Domenico, Buckles, Grant, Chen, Yiling, Diego-Rosell, Pablo, Johannesson, Magnus, Nosek, Brian A., Pfeiffer, Thomas, Siegel, Adam, Dreber, Anna
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8278038/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34295507
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.181308