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Calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model

Aiming at the problem of prediction accuracy of stochastic volatility series, this paper proposes a method to optimize the grey model(GM(1,1)) from the perspective of residual error. In this study, a new fitting method is firstly used, which combines the wavelet function basis and the least square m...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Xiao, Lifang, Chen, Xiangyang, Wang, Hao
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8289091/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34280218
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254154
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author Xiao, Lifang
Chen, Xiangyang
Wang, Hao
author_facet Xiao, Lifang
Chen, Xiangyang
Wang, Hao
author_sort Xiao, Lifang
collection PubMed
description Aiming at the problem of prediction accuracy of stochastic volatility series, this paper proposes a method to optimize the grey model(GM(1,1)) from the perspective of residual error. In this study, a new fitting method is firstly used, which combines the wavelet function basis and the least square method to fit the residual data of the true value and the predicted value of the grey model(GM(1,1)). The residual prediction function is constructed by using the fitting method. Then, the prediction function of the grey model(GM(1,1)) is modified by the residual prediction function. Finally, an example of the wavelet residual-corrected grey prediction model (WGM) is obtained. The test results show that the fitting accuracy of the wavelet residual-corrected grey prediction model has irreplaceable advantages.
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spelling pubmed-82890912021-07-31 Calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model Xiao, Lifang Chen, Xiangyang Wang, Hao PLoS One Research Article Aiming at the problem of prediction accuracy of stochastic volatility series, this paper proposes a method to optimize the grey model(GM(1,1)) from the perspective of residual error. In this study, a new fitting method is firstly used, which combines the wavelet function basis and the least square method to fit the residual data of the true value and the predicted value of the grey model(GM(1,1)). The residual prediction function is constructed by using the fitting method. Then, the prediction function of the grey model(GM(1,1)) is modified by the residual prediction function. Finally, an example of the wavelet residual-corrected grey prediction model (WGM) is obtained. The test results show that the fitting accuracy of the wavelet residual-corrected grey prediction model has irreplaceable advantages. Public Library of Science 2021-07-19 /pmc/articles/PMC8289091/ /pubmed/34280218 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254154 Text en © 2021 Xiao et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Xiao, Lifang
Chen, Xiangyang
Wang, Hao
Calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model
title Calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model
title_full Calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model
title_fullStr Calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model
title_full_unstemmed Calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model
title_short Calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model
title_sort calculation and realization of new method grey residual error correction model
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8289091/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34280218
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254154
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