Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Circulating Tumor Cells Counts Predict Prognosis in Gastrointestinal Cancer Patients

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to explore the prognostic value of associating pre-treatment neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) with circulating tumor cells counts (CTCs) in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We collected the related data of 72 patients with gastric cancer (GC) and colorectal cancer (CRC) who received different therapies from August 2016 to October 2020, including age, gender, primary tumor location, TNM stage, tumor-differentiation, NLR, CTCs, disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). We chose the optimal cut-off value of NLR >3.21 or NLR ≤3.21 and CTC >1 or CTC ≤1 by obtaining receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were used to analyze DFS and OS. To clarify the role of the combination of NLR and CTCs counts in predicting the prognosis, we analyzed the DFS and OS when associated NLR and CTCs counts. RESULTS: A high NLR (>3.21) was associated with shorter DFS (P <0.0001) and OS (P <0.0001). Patients with high CTCs level (>1) had shorter DFS (P = 0.001) and OS (P = 0.0007) than patients with low CTCs level. Furthermore, patients who had both higher NLR and higher CTCs counts had obvious shorter DFS (P <0.0001) and OS (P <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with higher NLR and more CTCs respectively tended to have poor prognosis with shorter DFS and OS, which might be regarded as predictors of gastrointestinal cancer. In particular, associating NLR and CTCs counts might be a reliable predictor in patients with gastrointestinal cancer.