Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States

Using a mathematical model, we estimated the potential impact on mortality and total infections of completely lifting community nonpharmaceutical interventions when only a small proportion of the population has been fully vaccinated in 2 states in the United States. Lifting all community nonpharmace...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Matrajt, Laura, Janes, Holly, Schiffer, Joshua T, Dimitrov, Dobromir
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Oxford University Press 2021
Materias:
Brief Reports
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8294674/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34307733
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofab341
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author Matrajt, Laura
Janes, Holly
Schiffer, Joshua T
Dimitrov, Dobromir
author_facet Matrajt, Laura
Janes, Holly
Schiffer, Joshua T
Dimitrov, Dobromir
author_sort Matrajt, Laura
collection PubMed
description Using a mathematical model, we estimated the potential impact on mortality and total infections of completely lifting community nonpharmaceutical interventions when only a small proportion of the population has been fully vaccinated in 2 states in the United States. Lifting all community nonpharmaceutical interventions immediately is predicted to result in twice as many deaths over the next 6 months as a more moderate reopening allowing 70% of prepandemic contacts.
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spelling pubmed-82946742021-07-22 Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States Matrajt, Laura Janes, Holly Schiffer, Joshua T Dimitrov, Dobromir Open Forum Infect Dis Brief Reports Using a mathematical model, we estimated the potential impact on mortality and total infections of completely lifting community nonpharmaceutical interventions when only a small proportion of the population has been fully vaccinated in 2 states in the United States. Lifting all community nonpharmaceutical interventions immediately is predicted to result in twice as many deaths over the next 6 months as a more moderate reopening allowing 70% of prepandemic contacts. Oxford University Press 2021-06-30 /pmc/articles/PMC8294674/ /pubmed/34307733 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofab341 Text en © The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) ), which permits non-commercial reproduction and distribution of the work, in any medium, provided the original work is not altered or transformed in any way, and that the work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
spellingShingle Brief Reports
Matrajt, Laura
Janes, Holly
Schiffer, Joshua T
Dimitrov, Dobromir
Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States
title Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States
title_full Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States
title_fullStr Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States
title_short Quantifying the Impact of Lifting Community Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 During Vaccination Rollout in the United States
title_sort quantifying the impact of lifting community nonpharmaceutical interventions for covid-19 during vaccination rollout in the united states
topic Brief Reports
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8294674/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34307733
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofab341
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