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A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine

Coronavirus disease 2019 (CoViD-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Among many symptoms, cough, fever and tiredness are the most common. People over 60 years old and with associated comorbidities are most likely to develop a worsening...

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Autores principales: Maurício de Carvalho, João P.S., Moreira-Pinto, Beatriz
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8302849/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34334968
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111275
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author Maurício de Carvalho, João P.S.
Moreira-Pinto, Beatriz
author_facet Maurício de Carvalho, João P.S.
Moreira-Pinto, Beatriz
author_sort Maurício de Carvalho, João P.S.
collection PubMed
description Coronavirus disease 2019 (CoViD-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Among many symptoms, cough, fever and tiredness are the most common. People over 60 years old and with associated comorbidities are most likely to develop a worsening health condition. This paper proposes a non-integer order model to describe the dynamics of CoViD-19 in a standard population. The model incorporates the reinfection rate in the individuals recovered from the disease. Numerical simulations are performed for different values of the order of the fractional derivative and of reinfection rate. The results are discussed from a biological point of view.
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spelling pubmed-83028492021-07-26 A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine Maurício de Carvalho, João P.S. Moreira-Pinto, Beatriz Chaos Solitons Fractals Article Coronavirus disease 2019 (CoViD-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Among many symptoms, cough, fever and tiredness are the most common. People over 60 years old and with associated comorbidities are most likely to develop a worsening health condition. This paper proposes a non-integer order model to describe the dynamics of CoViD-19 in a standard population. The model incorporates the reinfection rate in the individuals recovered from the disease. Numerical simulations are performed for different values of the order of the fractional derivative and of reinfection rate. The results are discussed from a biological point of view. Elsevier Ltd. 2021-10 2021-07-24 /pmc/articles/PMC8302849/ /pubmed/34334968 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111275 Text en © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Maurício de Carvalho, João P.S.
Moreira-Pinto, Beatriz
A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine
title A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine
title_full A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine
title_fullStr A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine
title_full_unstemmed A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine
title_short A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine
title_sort fractional-order model for covid-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8302849/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34334968
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111275
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